The Cincinnati Reds (7-13) carry a four-game losing streak into a home contest versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-7), at 6:35 PM ET on Saturday.
The Reds (+137 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Pirates (-160). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 22, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -160 | +137 | 9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- This season, the Pirates have been listed as the favorite in four games and won them all.
- Pittsburgh has played as favorites of -160 or more once this season and won that game.
- The Pirates have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 21 chances this season.
- In 21 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 13-8-0 ATS.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win four times (25%) in those contests.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win one times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or longer on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 11 of its 20 opportunities.
- The Reds have an against the spread record of 12-8-0 in 20 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 3 |
| ERA | 5.69 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill and his team have a record of 2-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Hill has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Hill has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
- Hill’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
- In games Hill has started this season, the teams are 2-2-0 at hitting the over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 10 | 10 | 10 | 1.80 | 7 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 10 | 10 | 12 | 0.90 | 0 | 7 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 9 | 8.1 | 7 | 4.32 | 3 | 1 |
| Dauri Moreta | 9 | 8 | 11 | 4.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1.13 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luis Cessa
- Cessa gets the start for the Reds, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA and three strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last time out was on Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw three innings, surrendering 11 earned runs while giving up 14 hits.
- Cessa is looking to collect his second start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
- The Reds were the moneyline underdog for three Cessa starts this season — they lost all of the games.
- Cessa’s team has lost all three of his starts this season.
- Cessa’s team has hit the over in each of his three starts with a total this season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 10 | 9.1 | 9 | 2.89 | 1 | 1 |
| Ian Gibaut | 9 | 7.2 | 8 | 3.52 | 2 | 1 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 9 | 10 | 8 | 3.60 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Young | 8 | 8.2 | 11 | 1.04 | 2 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 8 | 8.2 | 7 | 5.19 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have won each of the 10 games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won each of its seven games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 12 games this season, and is 9-3 in those contests.
- Pittsburgh is 9-1 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates are 6-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 3-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati ranks 25th in MLB, slugging .358.
- In 10 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 4-6.
- In eight games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 6-2.
- They have a 2-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Pirates vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-160)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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