The San Diego Padres (10-11) and Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9) square off on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, at Chase Field.
The Padres are projected as a tight favorite (-116 on the moneyline) against the Diamondbacks (-102). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of April 21, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -116 | -102 | 9.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won six out of the 12 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Diego has entered 11 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 5-6 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 10 of its 21 chances.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 9-12-0 in 21 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (50%) in those contests.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win nine times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of its 20 opportunities.
- The Diamondbacks are 13-7-0 against the spread in their 20 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo
- Lugo and his team have covered in each of the three games he’s started with a spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 2/3 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday.
- Lugo’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Lugo’s team has yet to lose any of his starts this season.
- Games started by Lugo have a 2-1-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 11 | 12.2 | 15 | 0.71 | 4 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 10 | 9 | 6 | 2.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 9 | 9 | 15 | 1.00 | 0 | 6 |
| Luís Garcia | 9 | 8.1 | 9 | 5.40 | 6 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 8 | 12.1 | 13 | 1.46 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen (2-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his fifth of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- Gallen will look to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
- The Diamondbacks are 2-1 in Gallen’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gallen’s team has compiled a 3-1 record over his four starts.
- Gallen has had four starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and two of those outings finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 9 | 8.2 | 13 | 1.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott McGough | 9 | 7.2 | 9 | 5.87 | 3 | 1 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 9 | 8.1 | 7 | 5.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 9 | 7.1 | 10 | 3.68 | 1 | 3 |
| José Ruiz | 8 | 8 | 6 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 5-3 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in four games this season, and has gone 3-1 in those outings.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in eight games this season, and is 6-2 in those contests.
- San Diego has a 6-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 5-3 in those contests.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In five games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 4-1.
- In 12 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 9-3.
- Arizona has won eight of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 23rd in baseball with a .305 on-base percentage.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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