The Minnesota Twins (11-8) and Washington Nationals (5-13) square off on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Target Field.
The Nationals (+221 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Twins (-267). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of April 21, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -267 | +221 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won nine of the 10 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -267.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in seven of 19 games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 11-8-0 in 19 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in five, or 27.8%, of the 18 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Washington has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +221 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 31.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in nine of its 18 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 10-8-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle
- Mahle and his team have a record of 1-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Mahle’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Mahle’s team has won one of his three starts this season.
- In games Mahle has started this season, the teams are 1-2-0 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 9 | 8.1 | 9 | 2.16 | 4 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 8 | 7.2 | 8 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 7 | 8.2 | 11 | 7.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 7 | 6.1 | 9 | 2.84 | 0 | 4 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 6 | 5 | 7 | 3.60 | 4 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- The Nationals will send Williams (1-1) out for his fourth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA and nine strikeouts over 15 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Friday, April 14 against the Cleveland Guardians, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Williams will try to continue a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing).
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Williams’ starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
- Williams’ team is 1-2 over his three starts.
- Williams’ starts hit the over on the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | 8 | 13.1 | 9 | 1.35 | 1 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 8 | 7.2 | 7 | 3.52 | 4 | 0 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 8 | 8.1 | 7 | 1.08 | 3 | 1 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 8 | 9.1 | 6 | 4.82 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony Banda | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have won all of the seven games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota has won each of its three games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits 10 times this season, and has a 9-1 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 5-1 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins’ .298 on-base percentage ranks 28th in baseball.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- The Nationals rank 30th in baseball with eight total home runs.
- Washington has won each of its three games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 10 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 4-6.
- In seven games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 4-3.
- They have won one of their four games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-267)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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