The Arizona Diamondbacks (11-8) will look for continued production from a slugger on a roll versus the San Diego Padres (9-11) on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET, at Chase Field. Pavin Smith is on a two-game homer streak.
The Diamondbacks play as a home underdog (+123) versus the Padres (-144). The matchup has an over/under of 10.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of April 20, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -144 | +123 | 10.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 11 games this season and won five (45.5%) of those contests.
- San Diego has a record of 3-6 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in nine of its 20 chances.
- The Padres are 8-12-0 ATS in their 20 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.3 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 17 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (52.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win six times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 10 of 19 chances this season.
- In 19 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 13-6-0 against the spread.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.97 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- Wacha and his team have a record of 2-1-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up seven earned runs on 11 hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Wacha’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Wacha’s team is 2-1 when he starts this season.
- In games Wacha has started this season, the teams are 2-1-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 10 | 11.2 | 13 | 0.77 | 3 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 9 | 8.1 | 9 | 5.40 | 6 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 8 | 8 | 14 | 1.13 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 7 | 10.1 | 12 | 1.74 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- The Diamondbacks will send Nelson (1-0) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA and 10 strikeouts over 17 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Nelson will try to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing.
- The Diamondbacks have been the moneyline underdog in three of Nelson’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
- Nelson’s team has a 1-2 record in his starts this season.
- Nelson has had three starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those games.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ginkel | 9 | 8.1 | 7 | 5.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 9 | 7.1 | 10 | 3.68 | 1 | 3 |
| Scott McGough | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Nelson | 8 | 8 | 12 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2.25 | 1 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have a 4-3 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- San Diego has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 6-2 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- San Diego has a 5-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have gone 5-3 over the eight games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Arizona has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won nine of the 11 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Arizona has won eight of its nine games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 24th in the majors with a .304 on-base percentage.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+123)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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