The New York Mets (12-7) visit the San Francisco Giants (6-11) to start a four-game series at Oracle Park, with first pitch at 9:45 PM ET on Thursday. The Mets are on the back of a series victory over the Dodgers, and the Giants a series loss to the Marlins.
The Mets are a favorite (-121) against the Giants (+103). The over/under in the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of April 20, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -121 | +103 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won 10, or 71.4%, of those games.
- New York is 8-3 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in eight of its 19 chances.
- The Mets are 11-8-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have been victorious in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, San Francisco has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Giants have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of its 17 opportunities.
- The Giants are 6-11-0 against the spread in their 17 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.01 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga’s team has covered the spread in each of the three opportunities this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics.
- Senga has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Senga’s team has yet to lose any of his starts this season.
- Games Senga has started this season hit the over one time in three chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 9 | 8 | 9 | 2.25 | 2 | 3 |
| Brooks Raley | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5.14 | 7 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 9 | 7.2 | 12 | 2.35 | 6 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 9 | 9.1 | 10 | 0.96 | 2 | 4 |
| John Curtiss | 8 | 9.1 | 7 | 4.82 | 2 | 0 |
Giants Probable Pitcher – Sean Manaea
- Manaea (0-0) makes the start for the Giants, his third of the season.
- The lefty last appeared on Friday against the Detroit Tigers, when he went 3 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Manaea has pitched five or more innings in a game one time this season heading into this matchup.
- The Giants have always been the moneyline underdog when Manaea starts this season.
- His team has lost both of the matchups he’s appeared in this season.
- Manaea’s two starts with a total this season both went over.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Brebbia | 9 | 7 | 10 | 6.43 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Rogers | 8 | 4.2 | 3 | 13.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Tyler Rogers | 8 | 9.1 | 7 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Scott Alexander | 8 | 7.1 | 5 | 1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Camilo Doval | 6 | 7 | 10 | 2.57 | 0 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have a 5-1 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- New York is 2-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits in nine games this season, and is 7-2 in those contests.
- New York is 10-1 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 6-2 in those contests.
Giants Hitting Trends
- They have won five of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Francisco has won each of its three games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In seven games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 3-4.
- In nine games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 5-4.
- In six games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-3
Mets vs. Giants Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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