The Baltimore Orioles (10-7) have a 1-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Washington Nationals (5-12) on Wednesday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET.
The Orioles are favored away from home (-144) versus the Nationals (+123). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of April 19, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -144 | +123 | 9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in seven games this season and won five (71.4%) of those contests.
- Baltimore is 4-1 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 11 of its 17 chances.
- The Orioles are 9-8-0 ATS in their 17 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with five wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 4-10 when favored by +123 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 44.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in nine of its 17 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 10-7-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, April 4, when he threw 1 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing one hit against the Texas Rangers.
- Bradish has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
- Bradish’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Bradish with a total this season hit the under.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Bautista | 9 | 8.2 | 16 | 1.04 | 0 | 5 |
| Cionel Pérez | 8 | 7.2 | 7 | 4.70 | 3 | 0 |
| Logan Gillaspie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 7.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 8 | 8.1 | 9 | 3.24 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 8 | 7 | 10 | 1.29 | 3 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore gets the start for the Nationals, his fourth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday, April 12 against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Gore will try to pick up his third matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
- The Nationals have a 2-1 record in Gore’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gore’s team has won two of his three starts.
- Gore’s starts went over the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 8 | 8.1 | 7 | 1.08 | 3 | 1 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 8 | 9.1 | 6 | 4.82 | 2 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 8 | 7.2 | 7 | 3.52 | 4 | 0 |
| Mason Thompson | 8 | 13.1 | 9 | 1.35 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Banda | 6 | 4 | 4 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 6-3 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has collected five or more extra-base hits in four games this season, and has gone 3-1 in those contests.
- The team is 6-4 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Baltimore is 8-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Orioles are 5-1 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- The Nationals are 30th in MLB action with eight home runs. They average 0.5 per game.
- Washington has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 4-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 4-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 1-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
- Washington strikes out 6.5 times per game to rank first in baseball.
Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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