The Toronto Blue Jays (11-7) and Houston Astros (8-10) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 8:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Blue Jays are favored (-110) in a projected tight game against the Astros (-108). The total for this game is set at 9.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of April 19, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -110 | -108 | 9 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have won seven out of the 11 games, or 63.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Toronto has a record of 7-4, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of 18 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 9-9-0 ATS in their 18 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.90 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in three games this year and have walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games.
- This season, Houston has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of its 18 opportunities.
- The Astros have an against the spread record of 9-9-0 in 18 games with a line this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.27 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- When Berrios starts, his team is 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw five innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Berrios’ team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Berrios’ team has won one of his three starts.
- In games Berrios has started this season, the teams are 2-0-1 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 9 | 6 | 5 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 9 | 8.1 | 8 | 2.16 | 6 | 0 |
| Adam Cimber | 9 | 8.2 | 5 | 2.08 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Romano | 9 | 9.1 | 12 | 2.89 | 0 | 6 |
| Zach Pop | 9 | 8.1 | 11 | 1.08 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Luis Garcia
- Garcia makes the start for the Astros, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, the right-hander went five innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Garcia has two starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Astros were the moneyline underdog for one Garcia start this season — they lost.
- All three of Garcia’s starts this season have been losses for his team.
- Garcia has had three starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those games finished over the total.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 9 | 9.1 | 15 | 0.96 | 2 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 8 | 8 | 10 | 2.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 7 | 8.1 | 10 | 3.24 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 7 | 6.1 | 7 | 7.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Maton | 7 | 8.1 | 10 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 3-2 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Toronto is 15th in baseball with a .409 slugging percentage.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 14 games this season, and is 10-4 in those contests.
- Toronto is 6-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays are 2-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in six games this season and are 3-3 in those matchups.
- Houston is undefeated in three games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 11 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 7-4.
- Houston has a 8-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 3-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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