The San Diego Padres (8-10) are looking for Xander Bogaerts to prolong an 11-game hitting streak versus the Atlanta Braves (13-4), on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park.
The Braves (-110 moneyline odds to win) and the Padres (-109) will meet in an expected tight matchup. The contest has an over/under of 9.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of April 18, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -110 | -109 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 14 times and won 11, or 78.6%, of those games.
- This season Atlanta has won 11 of its 14 games, or 78.6%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in nine of 17 chances this season.
- The Braves are 9-8-0 ATS in their 17 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.96 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won in three of the seven contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, San Diego has come away with a win three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in eight of its 18 opportunities.
- The Padres have posted a record of 7-11-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 1-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Strider has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Strider’s team is undefeated in the three games he’s started this season.
- In games Strider has started this season, the teams are 2-1-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Jesse Chávez | 9 | 8 | 7 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 8 | 9.1 | 10 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 6 | 7.2 | 11 | 2.35 | 1 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 6 | 5.2 | 5 | 4.76 | 0 | 0 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- The Padres will send Snell (0-1) to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 7.62 ERA and 16 strikeouts over 13 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, the left-hander tossed five innings against the New York Mets, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Snell has one start this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Padres were the underdog on the moneyline for two Snell starts this season — they lost both.
- Snell’s team has dropped all three of his starts this season.
- Snell’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of three games.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 9 | 10.2 | 13 | 0.84 | 1 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 8 | 7.2 | 5 | 2.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 8 | 7.2 | 7 | 5.87 | 4 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 7 | 10.1 | 12 | 1.74 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 7 | 7 | 13 | 1.29 | 0 | 3 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have won all of the five games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its four games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 12 times this season, and has an 11-1 record in those games.
- Atlanta is undefeated in the 11 games this season when it has scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 5-3 in the eight games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has gone 2-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 6-2 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In seven games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 5-2.
- They have won five of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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