Christian Bethancourt rides a two-game homer streak into the Tampa Bay Rays’ (14-2) game against the Cincinnati Reds (6-9) at 6:40 PM ET on Monday, at Great American Ball Park.
The Rays are favored (-148 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Reds (+125). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of April 17, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -148 | +125 | 9.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 15 times this season and won 14, or 93.3%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay is undefeated in 12 games this season when favored by -148 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 10 of its 16 chances.
- In 16 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 13-3-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.0 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 2.86 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 11 games this season and have come away with the win three times (27.3%) in those contests.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 1-7 when favored by +125 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 10 of its 15 opportunities.
- In 15 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 10-5-0 against the spread.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 5.44 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Jalen Beeks
- Beeks and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Wednesday, when he threw one inning, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit to the Boston Red Sox.
- Beeks’ team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Beeks’ team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Beeks with a total this season hit the under.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 7 | 5.1 | 1 | 1.69 | 1 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | 7 | 6.1 | 5 | 1.42 | 1 | 0 |
| Garrett Cleavinger | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 4 | 8.2 | 8 | 3.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Faucher | 4 | 8.2 | 6 | 4.15 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene gets the start for the Reds, his fourth of the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, the righty threw six innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Greene has one start this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Reds were the underdog on the moneyline for two Greene starts this season — they lost both.
- All three of Greene’s starts this season have ended in a loss for his team.
- Greene has had three starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those outings.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 6 | 7.2 | 7 | 3.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 2.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Young | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | 4.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Gibaut | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 9-1 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Tampa Bay is undefeated in its seven games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 14 times this season, and has a 12-2 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is undefeated in the 12 games this season when it has put up five or more runs.
- The Rays are undefeated in the five games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all three of their games this year when they hit two or more home runs as a team.
- Cincinnati is 21st in baseball with a .387 slugging percentage.
- In nine games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 4-5.
- Cincinnati has won five of its six games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In five games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-3
Rays vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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