Mauricio Dubon takes a 10-game hitting streak into the Houston Astros’ (7-8) game versus the Texas Rangers (8-6) at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, at Minute Maid Park.
The Rangers are road underdogs (+179) versus the Astros (-212). The over/under for this game is 8.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of April 16, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -212 | +179 | 8 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 13 times and won seven, or 53.8%, of those games.
- Houston is 1-2 this season when entering a game favored by -212 or more on the moneyline.
- The Astros have a 67.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of 15 games with a total.
- The Astros are 8-7-0 ATS in their 15 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have come away with three wins in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Texas has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +179.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 35.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over in nine of its 14 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rangers are 7-7-0 against the spread in their 14 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.73 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez and his team have a record of 1-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in seven innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- Valdez’s team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Valdez has started, his team is 1-2.
- In Valdez’s three starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 8 | 7.2 | 13 | 1.17 | 1 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 7 | 7 | 10 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Seth Martinez | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Maton | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 2.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryne Stanek | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney
- The Rangers will send Heaney (1-1) to the mound for his third start of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the lefty tossed five innings against the Kansas City Royals, allowing no earned runs while surrendering two hits.
- Heaney heads into the matchup with one outing of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Rangers have always been the moneyline underdog when Heaney starts this season.
- His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Heaney’s two starts with a total this season both went over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Santana | 7 | 7.2 | 9 | 7.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane Dunning | 5 | 11 | 4 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Cole Ragans | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | 3.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Smith | 4 | 6 | 9 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Brock Burke | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | 3.38 | 2 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 2-3 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Houston’s .390 slugging percentage is 19th in MLB.
- The club is 6-3 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Houston has a 7-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros are 3-2 in the five games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in four games this season and are 3-1 in those matchups.
- Texas has collected five or more extra-base hits in four games this season and won each of them.
- They have won each of the eight games they’ve played this season in which they collected eight or more base hits.
- Texas has won each of its seven games with five or more runs scored this season.
- They have won four of their five games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-212)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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