Padres Vs Brewers: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 16, 2023

The San Diego Padres (8-8) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (10-5) a game after Jake Cronenworth homered twice in a 10-3 victory over the Brewers. The game begins at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Padres are favored (-176 moneyline odds) when they take on the Brewers (+147). The contest has a set total of 8.

The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of April 16, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -176 +147 8

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won five of those games.
  • San Diego has entered four games this season favored by -176 or more and are 2-2 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in eight of 16 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 7-9-0 against the spread in their 16 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 13
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.2

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been victorious in four of the eight contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given Milwaukee this season with a +147 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of its 15 opportunities.
  • The Brewers have an against the spread mark of 9-6-0 in 15 games with a line this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 13
ERA 3.78
K/9 7.7

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

  • Darvish has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday against the New York Mets, throwing 6 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
  • Darvish has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Darvish’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Darvish’s team is 0-2 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Darvish this season, the teams hit the over once.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 8 7.2 7 5.87 4 0
Steven Wilson 8 9.2 13 0.93 1 0
Tim Hill 8 7.2 5 2.35 0 0
Domingo Tapia 7 8.1 9 4.32 1 0
Brent Honeywell Jr. 6 9.1 11 1.93 2 0

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley

  • Miley (0-0) makes the start for the Brewers, his third of the season.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday, the lefty threw five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Miley will look to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing.
  • The Brewers were the underdog on the moneyline for two Miley starts this season — they split the games.
  • His team split the two games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Miley’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 7 6 3 6.00 1 0
Joel Payamps 6 6.1 5 2.84 0 1
Javy Guerra 6 5.2 2 3.18 0 0
Peter Strzelecki 5 5.1 3 0.00 2 0
Bryse Wilson 4 9 8 1.00 0 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have hit at least two dingers in seven games this season, and are 4-3 in those outings.
  • San Diego is 2-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits eight times this season, and has a 6-2 record in those games.
  • San Diego is 5-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres have gone 5-3 in the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve won all seven of their games in which they’ve hit two or more home runs this season.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in three games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 10 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 8-2.
  • Milwaukee has won each of its seven games with five or more runs scored this season.
  • They have yet to lose a game in seven chances this season when drawing five or more walks.

Padres vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+147)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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