The St. Louis Cardinals (6-8) and Pittsburgh Pirates (8-6) meet on Saturday at 2:15 PM ET.
The Cardinals are favored (-199 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Pirates (+168). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of April 15, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -199 | +168 | 8.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have won five of the nine games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- St. Louis has played as favorites of -199 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 66.6%.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in four of 14 opportunities.
- The Cardinals are 7-7-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (53.8%) in those games.
- Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +168 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 37.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in six of its 14 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates are 7-7-0 against the spread in their 14 games that had a posted line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Steven Matz
- Matz has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up six earned runs.
- Matz has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Matz’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Matz’s team is 0-2 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Matz this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 7 | 6.2 | 8 | 2.70 | 1 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 6 | 6.1 | 4 | 7.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Zack Thompson | 6 | 7 | 11 | 1.29 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 8.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Stratton | 5 | 6.1 | 5 | 2.84 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras
- The Pirates will look to Contreras (0-1) to open the game and make his third start this season.
- The righty last pitched on Monday against the Houston Astros, when he went 3 1/3 innings, allowing seven earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Contreras has pitched five or more innings in a game one time this season entering this matchup.
- The Pirates were the moneyline underdog for two Contreras starts this season — they split the games.
- His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Contreras’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 7 | 6 | 10 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 7 | 6.1 | 6 | 7.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Colin Holderman | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Rob Zastryzny | 6 | 5.1 | 6 | 5.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Hernandez | 5 | 6.1 | 5 | 1.42 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals have a 4-1 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has won each of its three games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in nine games this season, and is 6-3 in those contests.
- St. Louis is 4-1 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cardinals have gone 1-3 in the four games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all five of their games in which they’ve hit two or more homers this season.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won five of the seven games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 5-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Cardinals vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-199)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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