The Miami Marlins (6-7) and Arizona Diamondbacks (8-5) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at LoanDepot park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins are coming off a series victory over the Phillies, and the Diamondbacks a series win over the Brewers.
The favored Marlins (-153 on the moneyline to win) host the Diamondbacks (+130). The total for this game is 9.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of April 14, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -153 | +130 | 9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won one of the three games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has played as favorites of -153 or more once this season and won that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 60.5%.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in six of its 13 chances.
- The Marlins are 5-8-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.42 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (54.5%) in those games.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win five times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in seven of its 13 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 9-4-0 against the spread in their 13 games that had a posted line this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Trevor Rogers
- Rogers has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits against the New York Mets.
- This will be Rogers’ first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
- Rogers’ team is 0-2 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Rogers this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Floro | 5 | 5.2 | 6 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 5 | 5.1 | 7 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1.80 | 0 | 1 |
| Tanner Scott | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | 7.71 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Madison Bumgarner
- The Diamondbacks will look to Bumgarner (0-0) to open the game and make his third start this season.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the lefty tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- The Diamondbacks were named the moneyline underdog for two Bumgarner starts this season — they split the games.
- His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Bumgarner’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-0-1 against the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson | 6 | 5.2 | 9 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott McGough | 6 | 4.1 | 5 | 6.23 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 6 | 5.1 | 6 | 8.44 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 6 | 5.1 | 7 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are a perfect 4-0 in games when they hit two or more homers this season.
- Miami ranks 20th in MLB with a .399 slugging percentage.
- The team has put up at least eight hits seven times this season, and has a 4-3 record in those games.
- Miami is 3-0 in games this season when it puts up five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 1-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 3-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Arizona has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 7-1 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Arizona has scored five or more runs five times this season and won all of those games.
- The Diamondbacks’ .311 on-base percentage ranks 23rd in MLB.
- Arizona’s 6.8 strikeouts per game rank third in the majors.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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