Cubs Vs Mariners: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 11, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (5-4) and Seattle Mariners (4-7) clash on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET.

The Mariners are an underdog (+103 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Cubs (-121). The over/under for this game is 10.5.

The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of April 11, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Mariners Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -121 +103 10.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have entered the game as favorites six times this season and won three of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 3-2 when favored by -121 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Cubs have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in five of its nine games with a total this season.
  • The Cubs are 5-4-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in three games this year and have walked away with the win two times (66.7%) in those games.
  • Seattle has a win-loss record of 2-1 when favored by +103 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over in six of its 11 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mariners are 6-5-0 against the spread in their 11 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Hayden Wesneski

  • Wesneski and his team were 1-3-0 ATS in games he pitched last year.
  • The 25-year-old righty last pitched Monday, Oct. 3 against the Cincinnati Reds, tossing six innings as the starter.
  • Wesneski appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and lost.
  • His team finished with a record of 2-2 in games he pitched last season.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Keegan Thompson 2 4.1 4 2.08 0 0
Michael Rucker 2 2.1 5 7.71 0 0
Julian Merryweather 2 1.2 0 27.00 0 0
Adbert Alzolay 1 2 3 0.00 0 0
Brad Boxberger 1 1 0 0.00 0 0

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Chris Flexen

  • Flexen (0-0) gets the start for the Mariners, his second of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the right-hander threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for one Flexen start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Flexen’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Penn Murfee 7 5 3 3.60 1 0
Trevor Gott 6 6.1 5 2.84 2 0
Matt Brash 6 5.1 11 5.06 1 0
Paul Sewald 5 5 4 3.60 0 2
Gabe Speier 4 4.1 5 2.08 1 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs are 27th in baseball with seven home runs. They average 0.8 per game.
  • Chicago ranks 20th in the majors, slugging .395.
  • The team has notched eight or more hits in five games this season, and is 3-2 in those contests.
  • Chicago has a 3-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cubs rank eighth in baseball with a .341 on-base percentage.
  • Chicago strikes out 7.4 times per game, the No. 2 average in the majors.

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners average 0.7 home runs per game to rank 23rd in MLB action with eight total home runs .
  • Seattle’s .374 slugging percentage is 21st in baseball.
  • They have a record of 3-2 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Seattle has won two of its four games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • The Mariners’ .299 on-base percentage is 26th in baseball.

Cubs vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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