Brewers Vs Diamondbacks: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 11, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (7-4) carry a four-game winning streak into a matchup versus the Milwaukee Brewers (7-3), at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Brewers are favored (-135 moneyline odds) when they visit the Diamondbacks (+115).

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of April 11, 2023 at 9:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -135 +115

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored six times and won five of those games.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 3-1 when favored by -135 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in four of 10 chances this season.
  • The Brewers are 6-4-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (60%) in those games.
  • This year, Arizona has won six of 10 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in six of its 11 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks are 8-3-0 against the spread in their 11 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the New York Mets, throwing 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.
  • Burnes’ team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Burnes’ team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Burnes this season, the teams hit the over once.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 5 4 2 2.25 1 0
Javy Guerra 4 4.1 2 2.08 0 0
Peter Strzelecki 4 4 2 0.00 1 0
Bryse Wilson 3 6 6 0.00 0 1
Joel Payamps 3 3.1 4 2.70 0 0

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

  • The Diamondbacks are sending Kelly (0-0) to the mound to make his third start of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Kelly has pitched five or more innings in a game one time this season heading into this matchup.
  • The Diamondbacks were named the moneyline underdog for two Kelly starts this season — they split the games.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Kelly’s two starts with a total this season both went under.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kevin Ginkel 5 4.2 5 9.64 1 0
Andrew Chafin 5 4.1 7 0.00 0 0
Scott McGough 5 3.1 4 8.10 1 0
Kyle Nelson 4 4 6 2.25 0 0
Carlos Vargas 4 3.2 6 2.45 0 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have won all of the four games this season when they hit at least a pair of homers.
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in the majors with a .446 slugging percentage.
  • The club has totaled eight or more hits in six games this season, and is a perfect 6-0 in those contests.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in the five games this season when it has scored at least five runs.
  • The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in four games this season, and won every time.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They are 2-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Arizona is ninth in MLB, slugging .429.
  • In seven games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 6-1.
  • Arizona has scored five or more runs four times this season and won all of those games.
  • The Diamondbacks are 23rd in the majors with an on-base percentage of .318.
  • Arizona strikes out 7.0 times per game to rank eighth in baseball.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+115)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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