The Philadelphia Phillies (3-6) host the Miami Marlins (4-6) in NL East play, at 6:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Marlins are a favorite (-128) at the Phillies (+109). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of April 10, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -128 | +109 | 8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have split the two games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has played as favorites of -128 or more once this season and won that game.
- The Marlins have a 56.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in four of 10 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 3-7-0 against the spread in their 10 chances this season.
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won in one of the five contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- This season, Philadelphia has been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in four of its nine opportunities.
- In nine games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 3-6-0 against the spread.
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw nine scoreless innings while allowing three hits against the Minnesota Twins.
- Alcantara has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Alcantara’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Alcantara’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Alcantara this season, the teams hit the over once.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Chargois | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | 5.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | 8.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Barnes | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Matt Strahm
- Strahm makes his first start of the season for the Phillies.
- The 31-year-old southpaw has two appearances out of the bullpen this season.
- Strahm did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 5 | 5.1 | 6 | 5.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are a perfect 3-0 in games when they hit two or more home runs this season.
- Miami’s .372 slugging percentage ranks 22nd in baseball.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in four games this season, and is 2-2 in those contests.
- Miami is the 27th-highest scoring team in MLB action, averaging 2.7 runs per game (27 total).
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in three games this season, and are 1-2 in those contests.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies average 0.8 home runs per game to rank 26th in MLB play with seven total home runs .
- Philadelphia has won one of its three games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 2-4 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Philadelphia is the 25th-highest scoring team in MLB, averaging 3.3 runs per game (30 total).
- The Phillies rank 24th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .311.
Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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