The New York Yankees (5-3) and Baltimore Orioles (4-4) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Orioles (+126 underdog on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Yankees (-147). The contest has a set total of 7.5.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of April 9, 2023 at 11:16 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -147 | +126 | 7.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won five out of the eight games in which they’ve been favored.
- New York is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have a 59.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in three of eight chances this season.
- The Yankees are 5-3-0 against the spread in their eight chances this season.
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win four times (50%) in those games.
- Baltimore has been listed as an underdog of +126 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in five of its eight opportunities.
- The Orioles are 5-3-0 against the spread in their eight games that had a posted line this season.
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Nestor Cortes Jr.
- Cortes helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw five innings, giving up one earned run while allowing seven hits against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Cortes’ team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Cortes’ team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Cortes with a total this season hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 4 | 3.2 | 6 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Wandy Peralta | 4 | 3.2 | 7 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 4 | 2.2 | 4 | 3.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael King | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 3 | 4.1 | 8 | 2.08 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- Wells starts for the first time this season for the Orioles.
- The 28-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen one time this season.
- Wells and his team went 6-10 in games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- His team went 11-12 when he pitched in last season.
- The games he pitched went over the total set by bookmakers 12 times in 23 opportunities last season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Akin | 5 | 3.2 | 2 | 2.45 | 1 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 4 | 3.2 | 7 | 7.36 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryan Baker | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | 9.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Cionel Pérez | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | 4.15 | 1 | 0 |
| Logan Gillaspie | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have racked up at least two dingers in four games this season, and are 3-1 in those contests.
- New York is eighth in baseball, slugging .451.
- The club is 3-2 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- New York is 3-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 3-1 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
- New York strikes out 8.9 times per game to rank 15th in baseball.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 3-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Baltimore is 17th in baseball with a .416 slugging percentage.
- In five games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 3-2.
- Baltimore has a 3-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- The Orioles’ .334 on-base percentage ranks 11th in MLB.
Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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