The Seattle Mariners (4-5) have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Cleveland Guardians (5-4) on Sunday at Progressive Field, at 1:40 PM ET.
As the favorite, the Mariners (-127 on the moneyline) take the field at the Guardians (+109). The total for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of April 9, 2023 at 11:16 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -127 | +109 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have been favored six times and won two of those games.
- Seattle has a record of 1-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in five of nine chances this season.
- The Mariners are 6-3-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in four games this season and have come away with the win three times (75%) in those contests.
- Cleveland has been listed as an underdog of +109 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in six of its nine games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 3-6-0 against the spread this season.
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up four earned runs.
- Kirby’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Kirby’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Kirby with a total this season hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn Murfee | 6 | 4.2 | 3 | 1.93 | 1 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3.60 | 0 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | 3.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Brash | 5 | 4.1 | 8 | 2.08 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabe Speier | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | 2.08 | 1 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Zach Plesac
- Plesac (0-0) gets the start for the Guardians, his second of the season.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday, the righty tossed one inning against the Oakland Athletics, allowing six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- The Guardians have not been a moneyline underdog when Plesac starts this season.
- His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Plesac’s only start with a total this season went over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Morgan | 5 | 6 | 9 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 5 | 4.2 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Clase | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.50 | 0 | 1 |
| James Karinchak | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners rank 25th in baseball with seven total home runs.
- Seattle’s .382 slugging percentage is 22nd in the majors.
- The team is 3-1 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Seattle is 2-1 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 24th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .300.
- Seattle’s 8.7 strikeouts per game rank 20th in the majors.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians rank 28th in MLB action with five total home runs.
- Cleveland is 24th in the majors with a .363 slugging percentage.
- In six games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 4-2.
- Cleveland has won each of its four games with five or more runs scored this season.
- They have won three of their four games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
- Cleveland strikes out 8.3 times per game, the No. 18 average in baseball.
Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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