The Cincinnati Reds (3-3) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (2-5) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Reds (+123 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Phillies (-144). The total in the game is 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of April 8, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -144 | +123 | 7.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have split the two games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia has played as favorites of -144 or more once this season and won that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in three of seven chances this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 3-4-0 in seven games with a spread this season.
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with one win in the three contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has played as an underdog of +123 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in three of its six opportunities.
- The Reds have posted a record of 3-3-0 against the spread this season.
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter
- Falter helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Texas Rangers, throwing 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
- This will be Falter’s first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
- Falter’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Falter with a total this season hit the under.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | 6.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | 3.86 | 0 | 1 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Nick Lodolo
- The Reds are sending Lodolo (0-0) to make his second start of the season.
- The lefty last appeared on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- The Reds have not been a moneyline underdog when Lodolo starts this season.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Lodolo’s lone start with a total this season went under.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Law | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Buck Farmer | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | 3.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Gibaut | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | 3.37 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies rank 23rd in MLB play with six total home runs.
- Philadelphia is 1-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits six times this season, and has a 2-4 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is the 25th-highest scoring team in MLB play, averaging 3.3 runs per game (23 total).
- The Phillies rank 21st in the majors with a .318 on-base percentage.
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds rank 17th in MLB action with seven total home runs.
- Cincinnati is sixth in baseball with a .453 slugging percentage.
- They have won two of the three games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has the No. 26 offense in baseball, scoring 3.7 runs per game (22 total runs).
- The Reds rank 12th in the majors with an on-base percentage of .333.
- Cincinnati’s 7.5 strikeouts per game rank second in baseball.
Phillies vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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