Phillies Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2023

Kyle Schwarber carries a two-game homer streak into the Philadelphia Phillies’ (1-5) game versus the Cincinnati Reds (3-2) at 3:05 PM ET on Friday, at .

The Phillies are favored (-201 moneyline odds) when they host the Reds (+170). The over/under for this game is 7.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of April 7, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -201 +170 7.5

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies lost the only game they’ve played as the favorite this season.
  • Philadelphia has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -201 odds on them winning this game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 66.8%.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in three of six opportunities.
  • The Phillies are 2-4-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds were underdogs in 125 games last season and came away with the win 48 times (38.4%) in those contests.
  • Last year, Cincinnati won nine of 41 games when listed as at least +170 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of its 162 games with a total last season.
  • In 162 games with a line last season, the Reds had a mark of 76-86-0 against the spread.

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up three earned runs.
  • Wheeler’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Wheeler’s team lost in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Wheeler with a total this season hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Gregory Soto 3 2 5 13.50 0 0
Connor Brogdon 3 4 3 9.00 0 0
Andrew Bellatti 3 3.2 4 7.36 0 0
Seranthony Domínguez 3 2 1 13.50 0 0
Matt Strahm 2 5 4 0.00 0 0

Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene

  • The Reds will look to Greene (0-0) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, March 30 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The Reds have not been a moneyline underdog when Greene starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Greene’s only start with a total this season went over.

Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alexis Diaz 59 63.2 83 1.84 13 10
Buck Farmer 44 47 54 3.83 5 2
Reiver Sanmartin 41 57 47 6.32 7 0
Art Warren 39 36 40 6.50 4 3
Luis Cessa 36 80.2 59 4.57 5 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies are 27th in MLB action with four home runs. They average 0.7 per game.
  • Philadelphia’s .431 slugging percentage ranks 14th in baseball.
  • The club is 1-4 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • Philadelphia ranks 27th in runs scored with 18, or 3.0 per game.
  • The Phillies are 20th in the majors with an on-base percentage of .309.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They won 17 of the 38 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Cincinnati won 14 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
  • They had a record of 42-35 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Cincinnati had a 38-17 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They won 14 of their 26 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+170)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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