The Cleveland Guardians (5-2) host the Seattle Mariners (2-5) to open a three-game series at Progressive Field, with first pitch at 4:10 PM ET on Friday. The Guardians are on the back of a series victory over the Athletics, and the Mariners a series loss to the Angels.
The Guardians are favored (-129 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Mariners (+110). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of April 7, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -129 | +110 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites three times this season and won twice.
- Cleveland has a record of 2-1 when favored by -129 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in five of seven opportunities.
- The Guardians are 3-4-0 ATS in their seven games with a spread this season.
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners were defeated in the one game they played as the underdog this season.
- Seattle has played as an underdog of +110 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in four of its seven opportunities.
- The Mariners have an against the spread record of 4-3-0 in seven games with a line this season.
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the Seattle Mariners without allowing a run.
- This will be Civale’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Civale’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Civale with a total this season hit the under.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Morgan | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| James Karinchak | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Clase | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 4 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- The Mariners will send Gilbert (0-0) out for his second start of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he threw six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
- The Mariners have not been a moneyline underdog when Gilbert starts this season.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Gilbert’s only start with a total this season went under.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Gott | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | 4.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Penn Murfee | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Brash | 4 | 3.1 | 5 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Diego Castillo | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | 10.13 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians are 22nd in baseball with five total home runs.
- Cleveland ranks 22nd in MLB, slugging .372.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in five games this season, and is 4-1 in those contests.
- Cleveland has won each of the four games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians have won each of the three games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
- Cleveland’s 7.7 strikeouts per game rank 15th in baseball.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners rank 17th in MLB play with six total home runs.
- Seattle ranks 20th in MLB with a .376 slugging percentage.
- The Mariners rank 24th in MLB with a .222 batting average.
- Seattle ranks 15th in runs scored with 29 (4.1 per game).
- The Mariners rank 25th in the majors with an on-base percentage of .286.
- Seattle’s 8.9 strikeouts per game rank 23rd in the majors.
Guardians vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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