The Minnesota Twins (4-2) and Houston Astros (3-4) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at , at 4:10 PM ET. The Twins are coming off a series defeat to the Marlins, and the Astros a series loss to the Tigers.
The favored Twins (-128 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Astros (+110). The game’s over/under is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 7, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -128 | +110 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been favorites in five games this season and won four (80%) of those contests.
- Minnesota is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in two of six games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 5-1-0 in six games with a spread this season.
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros will be posted as the underdog for the first time this season.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have placed on Houston this season with a +110 moneyline set for this game.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in six of its seven games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros have posted a record of 3-4-0 against the spread this season.
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five scoreless innings while allowing three hits against the Kansas City Royals.
- Gray’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Gray’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Gray with a total this season hit the under.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 3 | 2.2 | 5 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jorge Alcala | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Jose Urquidy
- Urquidy (0-0) pitches first for the Astros to make his second start of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty threw four innings against the Chicago White Sox, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- The Astros have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Urquidy starts this season.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Urquidy’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Montero | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Abreu | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 3 | 4.1 | 6 | 6.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Seth Martinez | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Phil Maton | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins rank 17th in MLB play with six total home runs.
- Minnesota ranks 24th in baseball, slugging .363.
- The club is undefeated in the three games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Minnesota has the No. 19 offense in baseball, scoring 4.0 runs per game (24 total runs).
- The Twins’ .295 on-base percentage is 22nd in the majors.
- Minnesota strikes out 7.7 times per game to rank seventh in baseball.
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros rank 13th in MLB action with seven home runs. They average 1.0 per game.
- Houston’s .366 slugging percentage is 23rd in MLB.
- In four games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 2-2.
- In four games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 3-1.
- They have a 1-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
- Houston strikes out 7.9 times per game to rank 17th in the majors.
Twins vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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