The Cincinnati Reds (3-2) will look to Jason Vosler, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the Philadelphia Phillies (1-5) at 3:05 PM ET on Thursday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are a home favorite (-195) against the Reds (+162).
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of April 5, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -195 | +162 | – |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies lost the only game they’ve played as the favorite this season.
- Philadelphia has not been bigger favorites this season than the -195 moneyline set for this game.
- The Phillies have a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in three of its six games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 2-4-0 ATS in their six games with a spread this season.
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds were victorious in 48, or 38.4%, of the 125 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
- Last year, Cincinnati won 11 of 45 games when listed as at least +162 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 38.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Reds had an against the spread record of 76-86-0 in 162 games with a line last season.
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits against the Texas Rangers.
- Wheeler’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Wheeler’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Wheeler with a total this season hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brogdon | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | 7.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gregory Soto | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Strahm | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene (0-0) starts for the Reds, his second this season.
- In his last time out on Thursday, the righty threw 3 1/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- The Reds have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Greene starts this season.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Greene’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Diaz | 59 | 63.2 | 83 | 1.84 | 13 | 10 |
| Joel Kuhnel | 53 | 58 | 56 | 6.36 | 5 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 44 | 47 | 54 | 3.83 | 5 | 2 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 41 | 57 | 47 | 6.32 | 7 | 0 |
| Art Warren | 39 | 36 | 40 | 6.50 | 4 | 3 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 23rd in baseball with four home runs. They average 0.7 per game.
- Philadelphia is 12th in MLB with a .431 slugging percentage.
- The team has collected eight or more hits five times this season, and has a 1-4 record in those games.
- Philadelphia ranks 25th in runs scored with 18, or 3.0 per game.
- The Phillies are 20th in MLB with a .309 on-base percentage.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 38 games last season and were 17-21 in those matchups.
- Cincinnati won 14 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
- They had a record of 42-35 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati won 38 of its 55 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
- They won 14 of their 26 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+162)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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