The Minnesota Twins (4-1) visit the Miami Marlins (2-4) at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
As the favorite, the Twins (-124 moneyline odds) play at the Marlins (+106). The game’s over/under is set at 7.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of April 5, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -124 | +106 | 7 |
Twins Betting Insights
- Last season, the Twins were favored 93 times and won 56, or 60.2%, of those games.
- Minnesota had a record of 49-30, a 62% win rate, when it was favored by -124 or more by oddsmakers last season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.4% chance to win.
- Games involving Minnesota went over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 162 chances last season.
- The Twins were 71-91-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread last season.
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in one of the four contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Miami has been listed as an underdog of +106 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in two of its six games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In six games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 1-5-0 against the spread.
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals without allowing a run.
- Lopez’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Lopez’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Lopez with a total this season hit the under.
Twins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 67 | 71 | 72 | 2.54 | 1 | 23 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 67 | 59.1 | 80 | 3.49 | 18 | 1 |
| Griffin Jax | 65 | 72.1 | 78 | 3.36 | 18 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 59 | 63 | 84 | 4.43 | 7 | 9 |
| Jhoan Duran | 57 | 67.2 | 89 | 1.86 | 18 | 8 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- The Marlins will look to Luzardo (1-0) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
- His last time out came on Friday against the New York Mets, when the lefty tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
- The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for one Luzardo start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Luzardo’s only start with a total this season went under.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Chargois | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 2 | 4.2 | 5 | 1.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | 15.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Barnes | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanner Scott | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins had a 31-13 record last season in games when they put up two or more home runs.
- Minnesota went 23-10 in games last season when it had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team went 66-32 in the games last season it racked up at least eight hits.
- Minnesota had a 51-13 record in games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins drew five or more walks in 35 games last season, and went 23-12 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins average 0.8 home runs per game to rank 19th in baseball with five total home runs .
- Miami’s .365 slugging percentage is 22nd in the majors.
- They have won one of the three games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has the No. 30 offense in MLB, scoring 1.7 runs per game (10 total runs).
- The Marlins rank 25th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .282.
Twins vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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