Red Sox Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 5, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 5, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (3-2) will look to sweep a three-game series versus the Boston Red Sox (2-3), at 1:35 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Red Sox are favored (-152 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Pirates (+129). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of April 5, 2023 at 11:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Red Sox -152 +129 8.5

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox won 48, or 60%, of the 80 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Boston had a record of 18-12, a 60% win rate, when it was favored by -152 or more by oddsmakers last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Games involving Boston went over the total set by oddsmakers in 77 of 162 chances last season.
  • The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates won in 49, or 35.8%, of the 137 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Last season, Pittsburgh came away with a win 34 times in 105 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
  • The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Corey Kluber

  • Kluber and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up five earned runs.
  • Kluber’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Kluber’s team lost in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Kluber with a total this season hit the over.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ryan Brasier 68 62.1 64 5.78 13 1
Kenley Jansen 65 64 85 3.38 0 41
John Schreiber 64 65 74 2.22 22 8
Chris Martin 60 56 74 3.05 10 2
Richard Bleier 54 50.2 32 3.55 7 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

  • Keller (0-0) pitches first for the Pirates to make his second start this season.
  • His last appearance was on Thursday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The Pirates were the moneyline underdog for one Keller start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Keller’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wil Crowe 59 76 68 4.38 16 4
Duane Underwood Jr. 50 57.1 57 4.40 10 1
David Bednar 45 51.2 69 2.61 4 19
Chase De Jong 42 71.2 59 2.64 4 1
Manny Bañuelos 35 41 42 4.39 6 1

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox had a 26-20 record in games last season when they racked up two or more homers.
  • Boston collected at least five extra-base hits in 35 games last season, and finished 29-6 in those contests.
  • The team notched eight or more hits 96 times last season, and had a 56-40 record in those games.
  • Boston went 53-21 in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
  • The Red Sox finished 24-8 in the 32 games last season when they drew at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They were 25-16 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh went 13-4 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They had a record of 46-23 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Pittsburgh had a 42-15 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They won 18 of their 33 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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