The Pittsburgh Pirates (3-2) will look to sweep a three-game series versus the Boston Red Sox (2-3), at 1:35 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Red Sox are favored (-152 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Pirates (+129). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of April 5, 2023 at 11:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -152 | +129 | 8.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox won 48, or 60%, of the 80 games they played as favorites last season.
- Boston had a record of 18-12, a 60% win rate, when it was favored by -152 or more by oddsmakers last season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Games involving Boston went over the total set by oddsmakers in 77 of 162 chances last season.
- The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates won in 49, or 35.8%, of the 137 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
- Last season, Pittsburgh came away with a win 34 times in 105 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Corey Kluber
- Kluber and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up five earned runs.
- Kluber’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Kluber’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Kluber with a total this season hit the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 68 | 62.1 | 64 | 5.78 | 13 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 65 | 64 | 85 | 3.38 | 0 | 41 |
| John Schreiber | 64 | 65 | 74 | 2.22 | 22 | 8 |
| Chris Martin | 60 | 56 | 74 | 3.05 | 10 | 2 |
| Richard Bleier | 54 | 50.2 | 32 | 3.55 | 7 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller (0-0) pitches first for the Pirates to make his second start this season.
- His last appearance was on Thursday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- The Pirates were the moneyline underdog for one Keller start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Keller’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Crowe | 59 | 76 | 68 | 4.38 | 16 | 4 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 50 | 57.1 | 57 | 4.40 | 10 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 45 | 51.2 | 69 | 2.61 | 4 | 19 |
| Chase De Jong | 42 | 71.2 | 59 | 2.64 | 4 | 1 |
| Manny Bañuelos | 35 | 41 | 42 | 4.39 | 6 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox had a 26-20 record in games last season when they racked up two or more homers.
- Boston collected at least five extra-base hits in 35 games last season, and finished 29-6 in those contests.
- The team notched eight or more hits 96 times last season, and had a 56-40 record in those games.
- Boston went 53-21 in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox finished 24-8 in the 32 games last season when they drew at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They were 25-16 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh went 13-4 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They had a record of 46-23 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh had a 42-15 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They won 18 of their 33 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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