The Milwaukee Brewers (4-1) hope to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the New York Mets (3-3), at 1:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Mets are an underdog (+118 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Brewers (-138). The over/under in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of April 5, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -138 | +118 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers entered a game as favorites 125 times last season and won 71, or 56.8%, of those games.
- Milwaukee had a record of 56-38, a 59.6% win rate, when it was favored by -138 or more by bookmakers last season.
- The Brewers have a 58% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Milwaukee and its opponents hit the over in 75 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Brewers were 69-93-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread last season.
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have split the two matchups they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- New York has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +118.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in three of its six games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In six games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 3-3-0 against the spread.
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, Oct. 5, when he threw three innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks without allowing a run or hit.
- Burnes’ team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- The only game started by Burnes with a total this season hit the under.
Brewers Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 67 | 64.2 | 64 | 3.76 | 9 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 65 | 60.2 | 96 | 1.93 | 26 | 15 |
| Matt Bush | 59 | 59.2 | 74 | 3.47 | 26 | 3 |
| Joel Payamps | 41 | 55.2 | 41 | 3.23 | 3 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 30 | 35 | 40 | 2.83 | 4 | 1 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- The Mets will look to Peterson (0-1) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
- His last appearance was on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when the left-hander tossed five innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up eight hits.
- The Mets have always been the moneyline underdog when Peterson starts this season.
- His team has lost the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Peterson’s only start with a total this season went under.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Santana | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooks Raley | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | 15.43 | 0 | 0 |
| John Curtiss | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers had a 48-20 record last season in games when they put up two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee went 17-8 in the 25 games when it racked up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team totaled at least eight hits in 80 games last season, and finished 50-30 in those contests.
- Milwaukee had a 61-17 record in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers drew at least five walks in 46 games last season, and finished 32-14 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets rank 27th in MLB action with three home runs. They average 0.5 per game.
- New York is 29th in the majors with a .295 slugging percentage.
- They have a record of 2-1 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won each of its three games with five or more runs scored this season.
- They have a 2-1 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
- New York strikes out 6.2 times per game, the No. 8 average in the majors.
Brewers vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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