The Minnesota Twins (4-0) are looking for continued production from a hitter on a roll versus the Miami Marlins (1-4) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, at LoanDepot park. Joey Gallo is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Marlins are favored (-155 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Twins (+132). The total for this game is set at 7.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 4, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -155 | +132 | 7 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- Last season, the Marlins were favored 65 times and won 36, or 55.4%, of those games.
- Last season Miami won 10 of its 19 games, or 52.6%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 60.8% chance to win.
- Miami and its opponents hit the over in 70 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Marlins were 80-82-0 against the spread last season.
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins won in 22, or 31.9%, of the 69 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
- Last season, Minnesota came away with a win four times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 43.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponents hit the over in 75 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Twins posted a record of 71-91-0 against the spread last season.
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing three hits against the New York Mets.
- This will be Alcantara’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Alcantara’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Alcantara with a total this season hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 67 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.31 | 4 | 20 |
| A.J. Puk | 62 | 66.1 | 76 | 3.12 | 20 | 4 |
| Dylan Floro | 56 | 53.2 | 48 | 3.02 | 5 | 10 |
| Matt Barnes | 44 | 39.2 | 34 | 4.31 | 4 | 8 |
| Ross Detwiler | 30 | 26.1 | 28 | 4.44 | 1 | 1 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda
- Maeda starts for the first time this season for the Twins.
- It’s the first appearance this season for the 34-year-old right-hander, and his first outing in more than a year.
- Maeda never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Twins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Thielbar | 67 | 59.1 | 80 | 3.49 | 18 | 1 |
| Jorge López | 67 | 71 | 72 | 2.54 | 1 | 23 |
| Griffin Jax | 65 | 72.1 | 78 | 3.36 | 18 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 59 | 63 | 84 | 4.43 | 7 | 9 |
| Jhoan Duran | 57 | 67.2 | 89 | 1.86 | 18 | 8 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins had a 22-14 record in games last season when they hit two or more homers.
- Miami went 19-3 in games last season when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club went 45-29 in the games last season it totaled eight or more hits.
- Miami finished 39-5 in the games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins finished 13-6 in the 19 games last season when they drew at least five walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They were 31-13 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 33 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 23-10.
- They had a record of 66-32 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota had a 51-13 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They had a 23-12 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (+132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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