Cubs Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (3-1) ride a three-game win streak into a contest versus the Chicago Cubs (1-3), at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Cubs are favored (-135 on the moneyline) when they visit the Reds (+115). The over/under for this game is set at 9.5.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of April 4, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -135 +115 9.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs entered a game as favorites 51 times last season and won 23, or 45.1%, of those games.
  • Chicago had a record of 16-15, a 51.6% win rate, when it was favored by -135 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Games involving Chicago went over the total set by bookmakers in 65 of 162 chances last season.
  • The Cubs had an ATS record of 82-80-0 in 162 games with a spread last season.

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds were chosen as underdogs in 125 games last year and walked away with the win 48 times (38.4%) in those games.
  • Last season, Cincinnati came away with a win 39 times in 104 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of its 162 games with a total last season.
  • In 162 games with a line last season, the Reds had a mark of 76-86-0 against the spread.

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Hayden Wesneski

  • Wesneski and his team were 1-3-0 against the spread when he pitched last season.
  • The 25-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Monday, Oct. 3 against the Cincinnati Reds, when he pitched six innings as the starter.
  • Wesneski appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and lost.
  • The 25-year-old made four appearances last year and his team went 2-2 in those games.

Cubs Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brad Boxberger 70 64 68 2.95 29 1
Michael Fulmer 67 63.2 61 3.39 25 3
Rowan Wick 64 64 69 4.22 5 9
Michael Rucker 41 54.2 50 3.95 5 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 31 67.2 73 3.99 4 3

Reds Probable Pitcher – Luis Cessa

  • Cessa will start for the Reds, his first of the season.
  • The 30-year-old righty started and threw five innings when he last appeared on Tuesday, Oct. 4 against the Chicago Cubs.
  • Cessa and his team finished 4-4 in the eight games he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
  • His team put together a 5-5 record in games he pitched in last season.
  • The games he appeared in last season went over the run total set by oddsmakers one time in 10 opportunities.

Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alexis Diaz 59 63.2 83 1.84 13 10
Joel Kuhnel 53 58 56 6.36 5 1
Buck Farmer 44 47 54 3.83 5 2
Reiver Sanmartin 41 57 47 6.32 7 0
Art Warren 39 36 40 6.50 4 3

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs went 25-15 last season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Chicago went 19-11 in the 30 games when it put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team went 47-34 in the games last season it strung together at least eight hits.
  • Chicago went 41-15 in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
  • The Cubs went 22-16 in games last season when they drew at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They won 17 of the 38 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 14-6.
  • In 77 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 42-35.
  • In 55 games last season with five or more runs scored, Cincinnati posted a record of 38-17.
  • They had a 14-12 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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