The Houston Astros (2-3) and Detroit Tigers (1-3) clash on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET.
The Astros are favored at home (-250) against the Tigers (+205). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of April 4, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -250 | +205 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros won 104, or 69.3%, of the 150 games they played as favorites last season.
- Last season Houston won 16 of its 24 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -250 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 71.4%.
- Games involving Houston went over the total set by bookmakers in 63 of 175 chances last season.
- The Astros were 92-83-0 ATS in their 175 games with a spread last season.
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers were victorious in 53, or 38.7%, of the 137 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
- Last season, Detroit came away with a win six times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +205 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 32.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit and its opponents hit the over in 65 of its 163 games with a total last season.
- The Tigers went 81-82-0 against the spread in their 163 games that had a posted line last season.
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he threw five innings against the Chicago White Sox without allowing a run.
- Valdez’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Valdez’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Valdez with a total this season hit the under.
Astros Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Montero | 71 | 68.1 | 73 | 2.37 | 23 | 14 |
| Héctor Neris | 70 | 65.1 | 79 | 3.72 | 25 | 3 |
| Phil Maton | 67 | 65.2 | 73 | 3.84 | 14 | 0 |
| Ryne Stanek | 59 | 54.2 | 62 | 1.15 | 17 | 1 |
| Bryan Abreu | 55 | 60.1 | 88 | 1.94 | 8 | 2 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matt Manning
- Manning starts for the first time this season for the Tigers.
- The 25-year-old righty started and threw 5 1/3 innings when he last appeared Wednesday, Sept. 21 against the Baltimore Orioles.
- Manning and his team finished with a 5-6 record in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team went 6-7.
- In 13 opportunities with a total set by sportsbooks last season, the games he pitched in hit the over four times.
Tigers Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lange | 71 | 63.1 | 82 | 3.55 | 23 | 0 |
| Jason Foley | 60 | 60.1 | 43 | 3.88 | 4 | 0 |
| Daniel Norris | 38 | 58.2 | 66 | 5.22 | 2 | 0 |
| José Cisnero | 28 | 25 | 23 | 1.08 | 5 | 0 |
| Chasen Shreve | 25 | 26.1 | 29 | 6.49 | 4 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros put up at least two home runs in 59 games last season, and finished 51-8 in those outings.
- Houston went 34-7 in games last season when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team went 73-20 in the games last season it strung together at least eight hits.
- Houston had a 70-5 record in games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros drew five or more walks in 41 games last season, and finished 34-7 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They won 16 of the 24 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 13 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 12-1.
- They had a record of 46-35 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Detroit won 33 of its 41 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
- In 10 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 4-6
Astros vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (+205)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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