Red Sox Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 4, 2023

Bryan Reynolds takes a two-game homer streak into the Pittsburgh Pirates’ (2-2) game versus the Boston Red Sox (2-2) at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox are favored at home (-155) against the Pirates (+132). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of April 4, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Red Sox -155 +132 8.5

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox won 48, or 60%, of the 80 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Boston had a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when it was favored by -155 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Games involving Boston went over the total set by sportsbooks in 77 of 162 chances last season.
  • The Red Sox were 84-78-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread last season.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates were chosen as underdogs in 137 games last year and walked away with the win 49 times (35.8%) in those games.
  • Last year, Pittsburgh won 31 of 102 games when listed as at least +132 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
  • The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta and his team were 18-15-0 against the spread when he pitched last season.
  • The 30-year-old righty last pitched Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the Tampa Bay Rays, tossing four innings as the starter.
  • Pivetta and his team won as favorites in 62.5% of his 16 appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 15-18.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ryan Brasier 68 62.1 64 5.78 13 1
Kenley Jansen 65 64 85 3.38 0 41
John Schreiber 64 65 74 2.22 22 8
Chris Martin 60 56 74 3.05 10 2
Richard Bleier 54 50.2 32 3.55 7 1

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras

  • Contreras gets the call to start for the Pirates, his first of the season.
  • The 23-year-old right-hander last appeared Sunday, Oct. 2 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he started and went three innings.
  • Contreras and his team went 6-8 in the 14 games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • When he appeared in a game last season, his team had a record of 9-9.
  • The games he pitched went over the run total set by bookmakers in eight of 18 opportunities last season.

Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wil Crowe 59 76 68 4.38 16 4
Duane Underwood Jr. 50 57.1 57 4.40 10 1
David Bednar 45 51.2 69 2.61 4 19
Chase De Jong 42 71.2 59 2.64 4 1
Manny Bañuelos 35 41 42 4.39 6 1

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox put up two or more round-trippers in 46 games last season, and finished 26-20 in those contests.
  • Boston put up five or more extra-base hits in 35 games last season, and went 29-6 in those contests.
  • The team racked up at least eight hits in 96 games last season, and finished 56-40 in those contests.
  • Boston had a 53-21 record in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
  • The Red Sox drew at least five walks in 32 games last season, and went 24-8 in those contests.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They were 25-16 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
  • In 69 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 46-23.
  • In 57 games last season with five or more runs scored, Pittsburgh posted a record of 42-15.
  • In 33 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 18-15

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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