The Cincinnati Reds (2-1) host the Chicago Cubs (1-2) in NL Central play, at 6:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Reds are an underdog (+104 moneyline odds) when they host the Cubs (-122). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of April 3, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -122 | +104 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs were favorites in 51 games last season and won 23 (45.1%) of those contests.
- Chicago had a record of 21-20, a 51.2% win rate, when it was favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks last season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Games involving Chicago went over the total set by sportsbooks in 65 of 162 chances last season.
- The Cubs had an ATS record of 82-80-0 in 162 games with a spread last season.
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds were underdogs in 125 games last season and came away with the win 48 times (38.4%) in those contests.
- Last year, Cincinnati won 41 of 113 games when listed as at least +104 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Reds had an against the spread mark of 76-86-0 in 162 games with a line last season.
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- In games Smyly pitched with a spread last season, his team was 11-11-0 ATS.
- The 33-year-old lefty last pitched Saturday, Oct. 1 against the Cincinnati Reds, tossing three innings as the starter.
- Smyly and his team won as favorites in 66.7% of his six appearances last season with a moneyline.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 10-12.
Cubs Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Boxberger | 70 | 64 | 68 | 2.95 | 29 | 1 |
| Michael Fulmer | 67 | 63.2 | 61 | 3.39 | 25 | 3 |
| Rowan Wick | 64 | 64 | 69 | 4.22 | 5 | 9 |
| Michael Rucker | 41 | 54.2 | 50 | 3.95 | 5 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 31 | 67.2 | 73 | 3.99 | 4 | 3 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Connor Overton
- Overton will start for the Reds, his first this season.
- The 29-year-old right-hander last appeared Friday, Sept. 30 against the Chicago Cubs, when he came on in relief and went 5 1/3 scoreless innings.
- Overton and his team went 3-1 in the four games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- He helped his team to a win in 3 of the four games he pitched in last season.
- The games he pitched went over the total set by bookmakers in two of four opportunities last season.
Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Diaz | 59 | 63.2 | 83 | 1.84 | 13 | 10 |
| Joel Kuhnel | 53 | 58 | 56 | 6.36 | 5 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 44 | 47 | 54 | 3.83 | 5 | 2 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 41 | 57 | 47 | 6.32 | 7 | 0 |
| Art Warren | 39 | 36 | 40 | 6.50 | 4 | 3 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs hit at least two round-trippers in 40 games last season, and finished 25-15 in those contests.
- Chicago put up five or more extra-base hits in 30 games last season, and went 19-11 in those contests.
- The club racked up eight or more hits in 81 games last season, and went 47-34 in those contests.
- Chicago finished 41-15 in the games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Cubs went 22-16 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They won 17 of the 38 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 14-6.
- In 77 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 42-35.
- Cincinnati had a 38-17 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They had a 14-12 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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