The Cleveland Guardians (3-1) and Oakland Athletics (1-2) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, at 9:40 PM ET. The Guardians are coming off a series victory over the Mariners, and the Athletics a series loss to the Angels.
The Athletics are an underdog (+133 moneyline odds) when they takes the field at home against the Guardians (-156). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of April 3, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Athletics Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -156 | +133 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians entered a game as favorites 86 times last season and won 58, or 67.4%, of those games.
- Cleveland had a record of 23-13, a 63.9% win rate, when it was favored by -156 or more by bookmakers last season.
- The implied probability of a win by the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
- Cleveland and its opponents hit the over in 78 of 169 games with a total last season.
- The Guardians were 89-80-0 against the spread last season.
Athletics Betting Insights
- The Athletics were chosen as underdogs in 144 games last year and walked away with the win 54 times (37.5%) in those games.
- Last year, Oakland won 39 of 104 games when listed as at least +133 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Athletics have a 42.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Oakland and its opponents hit the over in 74 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Athletics posted a record of 79-83-0 against the spread last season.
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Zach Plesac
- Plesac and his team were 9-15-0 ATS in his 24 appearances with a spread last season.
- The last time the 28-year-old righty pitched was on Sunday, Oct. 16, throwing one scoreless inning out of the bullpen against the New York Yankees.
- Plesac and his team won as favorites in 45.5% of his 11 appearances last season with a moneyline.
- His team finished with a record of 9-15 in games he pitched last season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 77 | 72.2 | 77 | 1.36 | 0 | 42 |
| Trevor Stephan | 66 | 63.2 | 82 | 2.69 | 20 | 3 |
| Bryan Shaw | 58 | 58.1 | 52 | 5.40 | 7 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 50 | 53.1 | 61 | 3.04 | 3 | 1 |
| Eli Morgan | 49 | 66.2 | 72 | 3.37 | 10 | 0 |
Athletics Probable Pitcher – James Kaprielian
- Kaprielian gets the call to start for the Athletics, his first of the season.
- The 29-year-old righty started and threw six scoreless innings in his last appearance on Sunday, Oct. 2 against the Seattle Mariners.
- Kaprielian and his team finished 13-12 in the 25 games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- His team finished 13-13 when he pitched in last season.
- The games he pitched finished over the run total set by sportsbooks in 11 of 26 opportunities last season.
Athletics Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domingo Acevedo | 70 | 67.2 | 58 | 3.33 | 21 | 4 |
| Sam Moll | 53 | 43.1 | 46 | 2.91 | 16 | 0 |
| Zach Jackson | 53 | 48 | 67 | 3.00 | 27 | 3 |
| Jeurys Familia | 48 | 44.1 | 41 | 6.09 | 7 | 0 |
| Dany Jimenez | 35 | 35.1 | 35 | 3.31 | 4 | 12 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians hit at least two round-trippers in 31 games last season, and went 25-6 in those outings.
- Cleveland went 19-1 in games last season when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club racked up eight or more hits 108 times last season, and had an 80-28 record in those games.
- Cleveland finished 62-4 in the games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians finished 18-6 over the 24 games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Athletics Hitting Trends
- They were 23-11 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Oakland went 17-4 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 69 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 40-29.
- Oakland had a 34-15 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 20 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 14-6
Guardians vs. Athletics Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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