The Milwaukee Brewers (2-1) and New York Mets (3-1) clash on Monday at 2:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at American Family Field.
The Brewers are favored at home (-121) against the Mets (+103). The over/under in the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of April 3, 2023 at 11:15 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -121 | +103 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- Last season, the Brewers were favored 125 times and won 71, or 56.8%, of those games.
- Last season Milwaukee won 65 of its 112 games, or 58%, when favored by at least -121 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Games involving Milwaukee went over the total set by oddsmakers in 75 of 162 chances last season.
- In 162 games with a spread last season, the Brewers were 69-93-0 ATS.
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets were chosen as underdogs in 38 games last year and walked away with the win 19 times (50%) in those games.
- Last year, New York won 13 of 30 games when listed as at least +103 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- New York and its opponents hit the over in 89 of its 165 games with a total last season.
- The Mets went 88-77-0 against the spread in their 165 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta and his team were 4-13-0 ATS in his 17 appearances with a spread last season.
- The last time the 26-year-old pitched was on Sunday, Oct. 2 against the Miami Marlins. The righty threw four scoreless innings as the starter in that matchup.
- Peralta and his team won as favorites in 53.3% of his 15 appearances last season with a moneyline.
- The 26-year-old made 17 appearances last year and his team went 8-9 in those games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 67 | 64.2 | 64 | 3.76 | 9 | 0 |
| Devin Williams | 65 | 60.2 | 96 | 1.93 | 26 | 15 |
| Matt Bush | 59 | 59.2 | 74 | 3.47 | 26 | 3 |
| Joel Payamps | 41 | 55.2 | 41 | 3.23 | 3 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 30 | 35 | 40 | 2.83 | 4 | 1 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco will make his first start of the season for the Mets.
- The 36-year-old righty started and threw four innings when he last appeared Tuesday, Oct. 4 against the Washington Nationals.
- Carrasco and his team went 1-3 in games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- He made 29 appearances last year and his team went 19-10 in those games.
- The games he pitched went over the run total set by oddsmakers 16 times in 29 opportunities last season.
Mets Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 66 | 65.2 | 79 | 2.06 | 20 | 3 |
| Dennis Santana | 62 | 58.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 19 | 1 |
| Brooks Raley | 60 | 53.2 | 61 | 2.68 | 22 | 7 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 63.2 | 81 | 2.40 | 3 | 20 |
| Drew Smith | 44 | 46 | 53 | 3.33 | 14 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers went 48-20 last season in games when they put up at least two homers.
- Milwaukee had five or more extra-base hits in 25 games last season, and went 17-8 in those outings.
- The team went 50-30 in the games last season it put up at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee finished 61-17 in the games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers went 32-14 in the 46 games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They were 36-9 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 29-5.
- In 102 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 79-23.
- New York had a 77-5 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They won 30 of their 36 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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