The Boston Red Sox (2-1) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-2) to start a three-game series at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET on Monday. The Red Sox are coming off a series victory over the Orioles, and the Pirates a series loss to the Reds.
The Pirates are an away underdog (+129) at the Red Sox (-151). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of April 3, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -151 | +129 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox were favorites in 80 games last season and won 48 (60%) of those contests.
- Boston had a record of 18-12, a 60% win rate, when it was favored by -151 or more by sportsbooks last season.
- The Red Sox have a 60.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Boston and its opponents hit the over in 77 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates came away with 49 wins in the 137 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
- Last year, Pittsburgh won 34 of 105 games when listed as at least +129 on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- In 12 games he pitched with a spread last season, Crawford and his team finished with a 7-5-0 record ATS.
- The 27-year-old righty last pitched Tuesday, Aug. 30 against the Minnesota Twins, tossing 4 1/3 innings as the starter.
- Crawford and his team were upset as favorites in each of his three appearances last season with a moneyline.
- His team finished with a record of 4-8 in games he pitched last season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 68 | 62.1 | 64 | 5.78 | 13 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 65 | 64 | 85 | 3.38 | 0 | 41 |
| John Schreiber | 64 | 65 | 74 | 2.22 | 22 | 8 |
| Chris Martin | 60 | 56 | 74 | 3.05 | 10 | 2 |
| Richard Bleier | 54 | 50.2 | 32 | 3.55 | 7 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo starts for the first time this season for the Pirates.
- The 25-year-old righty last appeared Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he started and went four innings.
- Oviedo’s team went 2-5 in games he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team went 3-5.
- The games he pitched went over the run total set by bookmakers in two of eight opportunities last season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Crowe | 59 | 76 | 68 | 4.38 | 16 | 4 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 50 | 57.1 | 57 | 4.40 | 10 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 45 | 51.2 | 69 | 2.61 | 4 | 19 |
| Chase De Jong | 42 | 71.2 | 59 | 2.64 | 4 | 1 |
| Manny Bañuelos | 35 | 41 | 42 | 4.39 | 6 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox had a 26-20 record last season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Boston went 29-6 in the 35 games when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club went 56-40 in the games last season it notched at least eight hits.
- Boston finished 53-21 in the games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Red Sox drew five or more walks in 32 games last season, and finished 24-8 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They won 25 of the 41 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh went 13-4 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They had a record of 46-23 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh won 42 of its 57 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
- They won 18 of their 33 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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