The Minnesota Twins (3-0) will attempt to keep a three-game winning streak alive when they visit the Miami Marlins (1-3) at 6:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Twins are a favorite (-123) at the Marlins (+105). The total in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of April 3, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -123 | +105 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins won 56, or 60.2%, of the 93 games they played as favorites last season.
- Last season Minnesota won 49 of its 80 games, or 61.3%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.2% chance to win.
- Games involving Minnesota went over the total set by oddsmakers in 75 of 162 chances last season.
- The Twins were 71-91-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread last season.
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins were underdogs in 97 games last season and came away with the win 33 times (34%) in those contests.
- Last year, Miami won 26 of 82 games when listed as at least +105 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents hit the over in 70 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Marlins went 80-82-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle
- Mahle and his team were 11-12-0 ATS in games he pitched last year.
- The 28-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Saturday, Sept. 3 against the Chicago White Sox, when he pitched two innings as the starter.
- Mahle and his team won as favorites in 44.4% of his nine appearances last season with a moneyline.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 11-12.
Twins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Thielbar | 67 | 59.1 | 80 | 3.49 | 18 | 1 |
| Jorge López | 67 | 71 | 72 | 2.54 | 1 | 23 |
| Griffin Jax | 65 | 72.1 | 78 | 3.36 | 18 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 59 | 63 | 84 | 4.43 | 7 | 9 |
| Jhoan Duran | 57 | 67.2 | 89 | 1.86 | 18 | 8 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto
- Cueto will start for the Marlins, his first of the season.
- The 37-year-old righty last appeared Tuesday, Oct. 4 against the Minnesota Twins, when he started and went seven innings.
- Cueto and his team put together a 6-5 record in the 11 games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- His team put together an 11-13 record when he pitched in last season.
- In 24 opportunities with a total set by bookmakers last season, the games he appeared in hit the over eight times.
Marlins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 67 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.31 | 4 | 20 |
| A.J. Puk | 62 | 66.1 | 76 | 3.12 | 20 | 4 |
| Dylan Floro | 56 | 53.2 | 48 | 3.02 | 5 | 10 |
| Matt Barnes | 44 | 39.2 | 34 | 4.31 | 4 | 8 |
| Ross Detwiler | 30 | 26.1 | 28 | 4.44 | 1 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins had a 31-13 record last season in games when they put up at least two homers.
- Minnesota went 23-10 in the 33 games when it collected five or more extra-base hits.
- The club put up eight or more hits in 98 games last season, and finished 66-32 in those contests.
- Minnesota had a 51-13 record in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins went 23-12 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They won 22 of the 36 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami went 19-3 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 74 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 45-29.
- Miami had a 39-5 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 19 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 13-6
Twins vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-123)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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