The Boston Red Sox (1-1) and Baltimore Orioles (1-1) play on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Fenway Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Red Sox are a home favorite (-144) against the Orioles (+123). The game’s total is 9.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of April 2, 2023 at 11:15 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -144 | +123 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Last season, the Red Sox were favored 80 times and won 48, or 60%, of those games.
- Boston had a record of 20-17, a 54.1% win rate, when it was favored by -144 or more by bookmakers last season.
- The Red Sox have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Boston and its opponents hit the over in 77 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Red Sox had an ATS record of 84-78-0 in 162 games with a spread last season.
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles were chosen as underdogs in 133 games last year and walked away with the win 65 times (48.9%) in those games.
- Last year, Baltimore won 42 of 87 games when listed as at least +123 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Baltimore and its opponents hit the over in 74 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Orioles posted a record of 100-62-0 against the spread last season.
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- In four games he pitched with a spread last season, Houck and his team finished with a 3-1-0 record ATS.
- The last time the righty took the mound was on Wednesday, Aug. 3 last season, when he pitched 1 2/3 scoreless innings in a matchup with the Houston Astros.
- Houck and his team had a 1-1 record when he pitched as a favorite last season.
- The 26-year-old made four appearances last year and his team went 2-2 in those games.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 68 | 62.1 | 64 | 5.78 | 13 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 65 | 64 | 85 | 3.38 | 0 | 41 |
| John Schreiber | 64 | 65 | 74 | 2.22 | 22 | 8 |
| Chris Martin | 60 | 56 | 74 | 3.05 | 10 | 2 |
| Richard Bleier | 54 | 50.2 | 32 | 3.55 | 7 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Cole Irvin
- Irvin starts for the first time this season for the Orioles.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, Oct. 5, the 29-year-old left-hander started and went six scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
- Irvin’s team went 10-16 in games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- He helped his team to a win in 12 of the 30 games he pitched in last season.
- The games he pitched last season went over the run total set by sportsbooks 12 times in 30 opportunities.
Orioles Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cionel Pérez | 66 | 57.2 | 55 | 1.40 | 24 | 1 |
| Felix Bautista | 65 | 65.2 | 88 | 2.19 | 14 | 15 |
| Bryan Baker | 64 | 69.2 | 76 | 3.49 | 9 | 1 |
| Keegan Akin | 44 | 81.2 | 77 | 3.20 | 3 | 2 |
| Austin Voth | 24 | 101.2 | 90 | 4.34 | 1 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox had a 26-20 record in games last season when they hit at least two homers.
- Boston went 29-6 in games last season when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club racked up at least eight hits 96 times last season, and had a 56-40 record in those games.
- Boston had a 53-21 record in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox went 24-8 over the 32 games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They were 30-13 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Baltimore won 24 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
- They had a record of 58-27 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Baltimore had a 54-12 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 31 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 24-7
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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