Reds Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – April 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 2, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (1-1) and Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Reds are a home favorite (-138) against the Pirates (+118). The game’s total is 9.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of April 2, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Reds -138 +118 9

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds were favorites in 35 games last season and won 13 (37.1%) of those contests.
  • Last season Cincinnati won four of its 10 games, or 40%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of 162 games with a total last season.
  • The Reds were 76-86-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates won in 49, or 35.8%, of the 137 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Last year, Pittsburgh won 38 of 117 games when listed as at least +118 on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
  • The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft

  • In 19 games he pitched with a spread last season, Ashcraft and his team finished with a 10-9-0 record ATS.
  • The last time the 25-year-old pitched was on Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the Chicago Cubs. The righty threw 5 1/3 innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • Ashcraft and his team were 2-4 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • The 25-year-old made 19 appearances last year and his team went 10-9 in those games.

Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alexis Diaz 59 63.2 83 1.84 13 10
Joel Kuhnel 53 58 56 6.36 5 1
Buck Farmer 44 47 54 3.83 5 2
Reiver Sanmartin 41 57 47 6.32 7 0
Art Warren 39 36 40 6.50 4 3

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Vince Velasquez

  • Velasquez will make his first start of the season for the Pirates.
  • The 30-year-old righty came out of the bullpen and threw 3 1/3 innings when he last appeared Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the Minnesota Twins.
  • Velásquez’s team went 2-2 in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • His team finished 6-3 in games he pitched in last season.
  • When he pitched last season, the games went over the total set by oddsmakers in six of nine opportunities.

Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wil Crowe 59 76 68 4.38 16 4
Duane Underwood Jr. 50 57.1 57 4.40 10 1
David Bednar 45 51.2 69 2.61 4 19
Chase De Jong 42 71.2 59 2.64 4 1
Manny Bañuelos 35 41 42 4.39 6 1

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds put up two or more homers in 38 games last season, and went 17-21 in those outings.
  • Cincinnati had five or more extra-base hits in 20 games last season, and finished 14-6 in those outings.
  • The team put up at least eight hits in 77 games last season, and finished 42-35 in those contests.
  • Cincinnati had a 38-17 record in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
  • The Reds finished 14-12 in the 26 games last season when they drew at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They were 25-16 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
  • They had a record of 46-23 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Pittsburgh had a 42-15 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They had a 18-15 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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