Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves (2-0) into a contest against the Washington Nationals (0-2) after his two-homer outing in a 7-1 victory over the Nationals. It starts at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
As the favorite, the Braves (-185 moneyline odds to win) visit the Nationals (+158). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 2, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -185 | +158 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- Last season, the Braves were favored 131 times and won 89, or 67.9%, of those games.
- Last season Atlanta won 39 of its 51 games, or 76.5%, when favored by at least -185 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 64.9%.
- Atlanta and its opponents hit the over in 84 of 166 games with a total last season.
- The Braves were 82-84-0 against the spread in their 166 chances last season.
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals were chosen as underdogs in 143 games last year and walked away with the win 46 times (32.2%) in those games.
- Last season, Washington came away with a win 23 times in 73 chances when named as an underdog of at least +158 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 38.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents hit the over in 75 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Nationals had an against the spread record of 71-91-0 in 162 games with a line last season.
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster
- The left-hander will make his MLB debut at the age of 24.
- Shuster did not pitch as the moneyline favorite in any games last season.
Braves Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 75 | 70 | 94 | 2.06 | 35 | 5 |
| Joe Jiménez | 62 | 56.2 | 77 | 3.49 | 11 | 2 |
| Jesse Chávez | 59 | 69.1 | 74 | 3.76 | 10 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 58 | 69.1 | 75 | 2.60 | 17 | 0 |
| Lucas Luetge | 50 | 57.1 | 60 | 2.67 | 6 | 2 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore will start for the Nationals, his first this season.
- The 24-year-old lefty last appeared Monday, July 25 against the Detroit Tigers, when he came on in relief and went 1 1/3 innings.
- Gore and his team won each of the four games he pitched a season ago when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 7-6.
- The games he pitched went over the run total set by oddsmakers in six of 13 opportunities last season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 66 | 66.2 | 70 | 3.51 | 14 | 11 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 59 | 86.1 | 61 | 2.92 | 5 | 0 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 57 | 62 | 56 | 2.76 | 13 | 2 |
| Andres Machado | 51 | 59.1 | 46 | 3.34 | 3 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 38 | 39.1 | 45 | 2.52 | 6 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves went 58-14 last season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- Atlanta collected five or more extra-base hits in 42 games last season, and went 34-8 in those contests.
- The team notched at least eight hits 101 times last season, and had a 78-23 record in those games.
- Atlanta finished 69-11 in the games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves went 25-8 over the 33 games last season when they drew at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They won 19 of the 29 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 14-6.
- In 91 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 41-50.
- In 51 games last season with five or more runs scored, Washington posted a record of 38-13.
- They had a 17-15 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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