The New York Mets (1-1) visit the Miami Marlins (1-1) on Saturday at LoanDepot park, at 4:10 PM ET.
The Mets are favored (-114) in a projected tight game against the Marlins (-103). The over/under for this game is 8.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of April 1, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -114 | -103 | 8 |
Mets Betting Insights
- Last season, the Mets won 83 out of the 127 games, or 65.4%, in which they were favored.
- New York had a record of 81-43, a 65.3% win rate, when it was favored by -114 or more by sportsbooks last season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- Games involving New York went over the total set by oddsmakers in 89 of 165 chances last season.
- In 165 games with a spread last season, the Mets were 88-77-0 ATS.
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins were victorious in 33, or 34%, of the 97 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
- Last year, Miami won 29 of 91 games when listed as at least -103 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents hit the over in 70 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Marlins posted a record of 80-82-0 against the spread last season.
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- In nine games he pitched with a spread last season, Megill and his team finished with a 5-4-0 record ATS.
- The 27-year-old righty last pitched Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the Washington Nationals, tossing two scoreless innings out of the bullpen.
- Megill and his team won 75% of the games he started as the moneyline favorite last season, with a record of 6-2.
- The 27-year-old and his team went 7-2 when he pitched in last season.
Mets Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 66 | 65.2 | 79 | 2.06 | 20 | 3 |
| Dennis Santana | 62 | 58.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 19 | 1 |
| Brooks Raley | 60 | 53.2 | 61 | 2.68 | 22 | 7 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 63.2 | 81 | 2.40 | 3 | 20 |
| Drew Smith | 44 | 46 | 53 | 3.33 | 14 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera makes his first start of the season for the Marlins.
- The 24-year-old right-hander last appeared Saturday, Oct. 1 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he started and went three scoreless innings.
- Cabrera and his team had a 5-5 record in the 10 games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- He made 14 appearances last year and his team went 8-6 in those games.
- In 14 opportunities with a total set by sportsbooks last season, the games he appeared in went over six times.
Marlins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 67 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.31 | 4 | 20 |
| A.J. Puk | 62 | 66.1 | 76 | 3.12 | 20 | 4 |
| Dylan Floro | 56 | 53.2 | 48 | 3.02 | 5 | 10 |
| Matt Barnes | 44 | 39.2 | 34 | 4.31 | 4 | 8 |
| Ross Detwiler | 30 | 26.1 | 28 | 4.44 | 1 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets put up at least two home runs in 45 games last season, and finished 36-9 in those contests.
- New York put up five or more extra-base hits in 34 games last season, and went 29-5 in those contests.
- The club totaled at least eight hits 102 times last season, and had a 79-23 record in those games.
- New York went 77-5 in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets went 30-6 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 36 games last season and were 22-14 in those matchups.
- Miami won 19 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
- They had a record of 45-29 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 44 games last season with five or more runs scored, Miami posted a record of 39-5.
- They had a 13-6 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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