The Boston Red Sox (0-1) host the Baltimore Orioles (1-0) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Orioles (+133 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Red Sox (-157). The over/under in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of April 1, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -157 | +133 | 9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox entered a game as favorites 80 times last season and won 48, or 60%, of those games.
- Boston had a record of 17-9, a 65.4% win rate, when it was favored by -157 or more by oddsmakers last season.
- The implied probability of a win by the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 61.1%.
- Games involving Boston went over the total set by bookmakers in 77 of 162 chances last season.
- The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles came away with 65 wins in the 133 contests they were listed as the underdogs in last season.
- Last season, Baltimore came away with a win 34 times in 71 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 42.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Baltimore and its opponents hit the over in 74 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Orioles went 100-62-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale
- Sale and his team failed to cover the spread in both of their two chances when he pitched last season.
- The last time the 34-year-old lefty pitched was on Sunday, July 17, throwing two-thirds of an inning as the starter against the New York Yankees.
- Sale appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and lost.
- The 34-year-old made two appearances last year and his team failed to win either of those games.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 68 | 62.1 | 64 | 5.78 | 13 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 65 | 64 | 85 | 3.38 | 0 | 41 |
| John Schreiber | 64 | 65 | 74 | 2.22 | 22 | 8 |
| Chris Martin | 60 | 56 | 74 | 3.05 | 10 | 2 |
| Richard Bleier | 54 | 50.2 | 32 | 3.55 | 7 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer starts for the first time this season for the Orioles.
- The 27-year-old right-hander started and threw six innings when he last appeared Monday, Oct. 3 against the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Kremer’s team went 10-7 in games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- His team finished with a 14-7 record in games he pitched in last season.
- The games he appeared in last season went over the total set by sportsbooks five times in 21 opportunities.
Orioles Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cionel Pérez | 66 | 57.2 | 55 | 1.40 | 24 | 1 |
| Felix Bautista | 65 | 65.2 | 88 | 2.19 | 14 | 15 |
| Bryan Baker | 64 | 69.2 | 76 | 3.49 | 9 | 1 |
| Keegan Akin | 44 | 81.2 | 77 | 3.20 | 3 | 2 |
| Austin Voth | 24 | 101.2 | 90 | 4.34 | 1 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox hit at least two home runs in 46 games last season, and finished 26-20 in those contests.
- Boston went 29-6 in games last season when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club notched at least eight hits 96 times last season, and had a 56-40 record in those games.
- Boston had a 53-21 record in games last season that it put up five or more runs.
- The Red Sox went 24-8 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They were 30-13 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Baltimore won 24 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
- In 85 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 58-27.
- Baltimore had a 54-12 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 31 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 24-7
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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