The Washington Nationals (0-1) host the Atlanta Braves (1-0) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Nationals are a big underdog (+213 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Braves (-257). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of April 1, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -257 | +213 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves were favorites in 131 games last season and won 89 (67.9%) of those contests.
- Last season Atlanta won 12 of its 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -257 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 72%.
- Games involving Atlanta went over the total set by sportsbooks in 84 of 166 chances last season.
- The Braves were 82-84-0 ATS in their 166 games with a spread last season.
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals were underdogs in 143 games last season and came away with the win 46 times (32.2%) in those contests.
- Last season, Washington came away with a win 13 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +213 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 31.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents hit the over in 75 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Nationals had an against the spread mark of 71-91-0 in 162 games with a line last season.
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- In games Strider pitched with a spread last season, his team was 12-9-0 ATS.
- The 24-year-old righty last pitched Friday, Oct. 14 against the Philadelphia Phillies, tossing 2 1/3 innings as the starter.
- Strider and his team were 13-6 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
- The 24-year-old made 20 appearances last year and his team went 13-8 in those games.
Braves Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 75 | 70 | 94 | 2.06 | 35 | 5 |
| Joe Jiménez | 62 | 56.2 | 77 | 3.49 | 11 | 2 |
| Jesse Chávez | 59 | 69.1 | 74 | 3.76 | 10 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 58 | 69.1 | 75 | 2.60 | 17 | 0 |
| Lucas Luetge | 50 | 57.1 | 60 | 2.67 | 6 | 2 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray will take the mound to start for the Nationals, his first this season.
- When he last appeared on Wednesday, Sept. 28, the 25-year-old righty started the game and went six innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Gray and his team finished with a 11-14 record in games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- He helped his team to a win in 13 of the 29 games he appeared in last season.
- The games he pitched last season finished over the total set by bookmakers 14 times in 29 opportunities.
Nationals Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 66 | 66.2 | 70 | 3.51 | 14 | 11 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 59 | 86.1 | 61 | 2.92 | 5 | 0 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 57 | 62 | 56 | 2.76 | 13 | 2 |
| Andres Machado | 51 | 59.1 | 46 | 3.34 | 3 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 38 | 39.1 | 45 | 2.52 | 6 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves racked up at least two home runs in 72 games last season, and finished 58-14 in those contests.
- Atlanta had at least five extra-base hits in 42 games last season, and went 34-8 in those contests.
- The club went 78-23 in the games last season it strung together eight or more hits.
- Atlanta finished 69-11 in the games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves finished 25-8 over the 33 games last season when they drew at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 29 games last season and were 19-10 in those matchups.
- Washington went 14-6 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 91 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 41-50.
- Washington won 38 of its 51 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
- They won 17 of their 32 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-257)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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