The Cincinnati Reds (0-1) square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) on Saturday at Great American Ball Park, at 4:10 PM ET.
The Pirates are an away underdog (+124) at the Reds (-144). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of April 1, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -144 | +124 | 8.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds were favorites in 35 games last season and won 13 (37.1%) of those contests.
- Last season Cincinnati won three of its six games when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The Reds have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Reds were 76-86-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates were victorious in 49, or 35.8%, of the 137 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
- Last year, Pittsburgh won 36 of 112 games when listed as at least +124 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Pirates went 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Nick Lodolo
- Lodolo and his team were 10-9-0 against the spread when he pitched last season.
- The 25-year-old lefty last pitched Saturday, Oct. 1 against the Chicago Cubs, tossing five innings as the starter.
- Lodolo and his team won 28.6% of the games he started as the moneyline favorite last season, with a record of 2-5.
- The 25-year-old and his team went 9-10 when he pitched in last season.
Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Diaz | 59 | 63.2 | 83 | 1.84 | 13 | 10 |
| Joel Kuhnel | 53 | 58 | 56 | 6.36 | 5 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 44 | 47 | 54 | 3.83 | 5 | 2 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 41 | 57 | 47 | 6.32 | 7 | 0 |
| Art Warren | 39 | 36 | 40 | 6.50 | 4 | 3 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill starts for the first time this season for the Pirates.
- When he last appeared on Monday, Oct. 3, the 43-year-old left-hander started the game and went six innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Hill and his team finished with a 5-7 record in games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
- He helped his team to a victory in 14 of the 26 games he appeared in last season.
- The games he appeared in last season went over the run total set by sportsbooks 12 times in 26 opportunities.
Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Crowe | 59 | 76 | 68 | 4.38 | 16 | 4 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 50 | 57.1 | 57 | 4.40 | 10 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 45 | 51.2 | 69 | 2.61 | 4 | 19 |
| Chase De Jong | 42 | 71.2 | 59 | 2.64 | 4 | 1 |
| Manny Bañuelos | 35 | 41 | 42 | 4.39 | 6 | 1 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds had a 17-21 record last season in games when they put up two or more homers.
- Cincinnati put up five or more extra-base hits in 20 games last season, and went 14-6 in those outings.
- The club went 42-35 in the games last season it put up at least eight hits.
- Cincinnati went 38-17 in games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Reds finished 14-12 in the 26 games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 41 games last season and were 25-16 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh went 13-4 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 69 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 46-23.
- Pittsburgh won 42 of its 57 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
- They had a 18-15 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+124)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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