The New York Mets (1-0) and Miami Marlins (0-1) meet on Friday at 6:40 PM ET.
The Mets (-113 on the moneyline) and the Marlins (-105) will play in an expected close contest. The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of March 31, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -113 | -105 | 7.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets entered a game as favorites 127 times last season and won 83, or 65.4%, of those games.
- Last season New York won 81 of its 124 games, or 65.3%, when favored by at least -113 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
- Games involving New York went over the total set by oddsmakers in 89 of 165 chances last season.
- The Mets were 88-77-0 against the spread in their 165 chances last season.
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins won in 33, or 34%, of the 97 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
- Last season, Miami came away with a win 31 times in 94 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents hit the over in 70 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Marlins posted a record of 80-82-0 against the spread last season.
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Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- Peterson and his team were 10-9-0 ATS in his 19 appearances with a spread last season.
- The last time the lefty took the mound was on Sunday, Oct. 9 last season, when he pitched one inning in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Peterson appeared in 14 games last season as the moneyline favorite and his team finished with a record of 9-5 in those contests.
- His team finished with a record of 12-7 in games he pitched last season.
Mets Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 66 | 65.2 | 79 | 2.06 | 20 | 3 |
| Dennis Santana | 62 | 58.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 19 | 1 |
| Brooks Raley | 60 | 53.2 | 61 | 2.68 | 22 | 7 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 63.2 | 81 | 2.40 | 3 | 20 |
| Drew Smith | 44 | 46 | 53 | 3.33 | 14 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo starts for the first time this season for the Marlins.
- The 25-year-old left-hander started and threw six scoreless innings when he last appeared Monday, Oct. 3 against the Atlanta Braves.
- Luzardo and his team finished 3-8 in the 11 games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- When he appeared in a game last season, his team posted a record of 4-14.
- The games he appeared in last season finished over the total set by sportsbooks seven times in 18 opportunities.
Marlins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 67 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.31 | 4 | 20 |
| A.J. Puk | 62 | 66.1 | 76 | 3.12 | 20 | 4 |
| Dylan Floro | 56 | 53.2 | 48 | 3.02 | 5 | 10 |
| Matt Barnes | 44 | 39.2 | 34 | 4.31 | 4 | 8 |
| Ross Detwiler | 30 | 26.1 | 28 | 4.44 | 1 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets went 36-9 last season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- New York put up at least five extra-base hits in 34 games last season, and went 29-5 in those outings.
- The team notched at least eight hits 102 times last season, and had a 79-23 record in those games.
- New York finished 77-5 in the games last season that it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets finished 30-6 over the 36 games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 36 games last season and were 22-14 in those matchups.
- Miami won 19 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
- They had a record of 45-29 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 44 games last season with five or more runs scored, Miami posted a record of 39-5.
- They had a 13-6 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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