Brewers Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – March 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 29, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers open the season versus the Chicago Cubs on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field.

The Brewers are favored away from home (-142) versus the Cubs (+121). The total for this game is set at 7.

The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of March 30, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -142 +121 7

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers won 71, or 56.8%, of the 125 games they played as favorites last season.
  • Milwaukee had a record of 54-34, a 61.4% win rate, when it was favored by -142 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents hit the over in 75 of 162 games with a total last season.
  • The Brewers were 69-93-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs won in 51, or 46.4%, of the 110 contests they were named as odds-on underdogs in last year.
  • Last year, Chicago won 30 of 68 games when listed as at least +121 on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago and its opponents hit the over in 65 of its 162 games with a total last season.
  • The Cubs went 82-80-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes

  • In 33 games he pitched with a spread last season, Burnes and his team finished with a 12-21-0 record ATS.
  • The last time the 28-year-old pitched was on Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The righty threw three scoreless innings as the starter in that matchup.
  • Burnes and his team were 20-11 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • The 28-year-old and his team went 20-13 when he pitched in last season.

Brewers Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 67 64.2 64 3.76 9 0
Devin Williams 65 60.2 96 1.93 26 15
Matt Bush 59 59.2 74 3.47 26 3
Joel Payamps 41 55.2 41 3.23 3 0
Peter Strzelecki 30 35 40 2.83 4 1

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • Stroman makes his first start of the season for the Cubs.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, Oct. 2, the 31-year-old righty started the game and went six scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
  • Stroman’s team went 7-11 in games he pitched when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • His team finished 9-16 in games he pitched in last season.
  • The games he pitched finished over the run total set by oddsmakers 13 times in 25 opportunities last season.

Cubs Relief Pitchers (2022)

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brad Boxberger 70 64 68 2.95 29 1
Michael Fulmer 67 63.2 61 3.39 25 3
Rowan Wick 64 64 69 4.22 5 9
Brandon Hughes 57 57.2 68 3.12 8 8
Michael Rucker 41 54.2 50 3.95 5 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers went 48-20 last season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Milwaukee went 17-8 in games last season when it put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team racked up at least eight hits in 80 games last season, and finished 50-30 in those contests.
  • Milwaukee had a 61-17 record in games last season that it scored five or more runs.
  • The Brewers went 32-14 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They won 25 of the 40 games last season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Chicago won 19 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits last season.
  • They had a record of 47-34 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Chicago won 41 of its 56 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
  • In 38 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 22-16

Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+121)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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