The New York Mets will take the field in the season opener versus the Miami Marlins on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, at LoanDepot park.
The Marlins play as a home underdog (+110) against the Mets (-129). The over/under for this game is 7.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of March 30, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -129 | +110 | 7 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets were favorites in 127 games last season and won 83 (65.4%) of those contests.
- Last season New York won 69 of its 106 games, or 65.1%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- Games involving New York went over the total set by oddsmakers in 89 of 165 chances last season.
- The Mets were 88-77-0 against the spread in their 165 chances last season.
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins were victorious in 33, or 34%, of the 97 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
- Last year, Miami won 22 of 75 games when listed as at least +110 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents hit the over in 70 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Marlins went 80-82-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks last season.
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer and his team were 11-12-0 against the spread when he pitched last season.
- The last time the 38-year-old righty pitched was on Saturday, Oct. 8, throwing 4 2/3 innings as the starter against the San Diego Padres.
- Scherzer and his team had an 11-10 record when he pitched as a favorite last season.
- The 38-year-old’s team finished with a record of 13-10 in games he pitched.
Mets Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 66 | 65.2 | 79 | 2.06 | 20 | 3 |
| Dennis Santana | 62 | 58.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 19 | 1 |
| Brooks Raley | 60 | 53.2 | 61 | 2.68 | 22 | 7 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 63.2 | 81 | 2.40 | 3 | 20 |
| Drew Smith | 44 | 46 | 53 | 3.33 | 14 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara will make his first start of the season for the Marlins.
- The 27-year-old righty started and threw eight innings when he last appeared Saturday, Oct. 1 against the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Alcantara and his team went 6-8 in the 14 games he appeared in when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
- His team went 19-13 when he pitched in last season.
- In 32 opportunities with a run total set by oddsmakers last season, the games he appeared in hit the over 11 times.
Marlins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 67 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.31 | 4 | 20 |
| A.J. Puk | 62 | 66.1 | 76 | 3.12 | 20 | 4 |
| Dylan Floro | 56 | 53.2 | 48 | 3.02 | 5 | 10 |
| Matt Barnes | 44 | 39.2 | 34 | 4.31 | 4 | 8 |
| Tommy Nance | 33 | 43.2 | 57 | 4.33 | 2 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets put up at least two round-trippers in 45 games last season, and went 36-9 in those outings.
- New York went 29-5 in games last season when it had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club put up at least eight hits 102 times last season, and had a 79-23 record in those games.
- New York had a 77-5 record in games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets drew at least five walks in 36 games last season, and finished 30-6 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They were 22-14 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 19-3.
- They had a record of 45-29 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 44 games last season with five or more runs scored, Miami posted a record of 39-5.
- They had a 13-6 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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