The Boston Red Sox are facing the Baltimore Orioles to begin the MLB season on Thursday. The matchup begins at 2:10 PM ET at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox are a home favorite (-125) against the Orioles (+107). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of March 30, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -125 | +107 | 8.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Last season, the Red Sox won 48 out of the 80 games, or 60%, in which they were favored.
- Last season Boston won 37 of its 60 games, or 61.7%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
- Boston and its opponents hit the over in 77 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Red Sox were 84-78-0 ATS in their 162 games with a spread last season.
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles were chosen as underdogs in 133 games last year and walked away with the win 65 times (48.9%) in those games.
- Last year, Baltimore won 50 of 107 games when listed as at least +107 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Baltimore and its opponents hit the over in 74 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Orioles went 100-62-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Corey Kluber
- In 31 games he pitched with a spread last season, Kluber and his team finished with a 16-15-0 record ATS.
- The 36-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Saturday, Oct. 8 against the Cleveland Guardians, when he pitched 1 2/3 innings out of the bullpen.
- Kluber and his team had an 11-9 record when he pitched as a favorite last season.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 16-15.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 68 | 62.1 | 64 | 5.78 | 13 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 65 | 64 | 85 | 3.38 | 0 | 41 |
| John Schreiber | 64 | 65 | 74 | 2.22 | 22 | 8 |
| Chris Martin | 60 | 56 | 74 | 3.05 | 10 | 2 |
| Richard Bleier | 54 | 50.2 | 32 | 3.55 | 7 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson will take the mound to start for the Orioles, his first this season.
- The 35-year-old righty came out of the bullpen and threw one scoreless inning when he last appeared Wednesday, Nov. 2 against the Houston Astros.
- Gibson and his team had a 7-8 record in games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- He helped his team to a win in 16 of the 31 games he pitched in last season.
- When he pitched last season, the games finished over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 31 opportunities.
Orioles Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cionel Pérez | 66 | 57.2 | 55 | 1.40 | 24 | 1 |
| Felix Bautista | 65 | 65.2 | 88 | 2.19 | 14 | 15 |
| Bryan Baker | 64 | 69.2 | 76 | 3.49 | 9 | 1 |
| Mychal Givens | 59 | 61.1 | 71 | 3.38 | 8 | 2 |
| Joey Krehbiel | 56 | 57.2 | 45 | 3.90 | 10 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox went 26-20 last season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- Boston had at least five extra-base hits in 35 games last season, and went 29-6 in those outings.
- The club put up at least eight hits in 96 games last season, and went 56-40 in those contests.
- Boston went 53-21 in games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox drew at least five walks in 32 games last season, and finished 24-8 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They were 30-13 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 31 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 24-7.
- In 85 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 58-27.
- Baltimore had a 54-12 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They won 24 of their 31 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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