The Minnesota Twins will take the field in the season opener versus the Kansas City Royals on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, at Kauffman Stadium.
The Twins are favored away from home (-159) versus the Royals (+136). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of March 30, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -159 | +136 | 9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins entered a game as favorites 93 times last season and won 56, or 60.2%, of those games.
- Minnesota had a record of 25-11, a 69.4% win rate, when it was favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks last season.
- The Twins have a 61.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Minnesota went over the total set by sportsbooks in 75 of 162 chances last season.
- In 162 games with a spread last season, the Twins were 71-91-0 ATS.
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals were victorious in 52, or 38.2%, of the 136 contests they were chosen as underdogs in last season.
- Last season, Kansas City came away with a win 19 times in 69 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 42.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents hit the over in 82 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Royals went 80-82-0 against the spread in their 162 games that had a posted line last season.
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team were 16-16-0 ATS in his 32 appearances with a spread last season.
- The last time the righty took the mound was on Sunday, Oct. 2 last season, when he pitched seven scoreless innings in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Lopez and his team won 60% of the games he started as the moneyline favorite last season, with a record of 9-6.
- His team finished with a record of 16-16 in games he pitched last season.
Twins Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 67 | 71 | 72 | 2.54 | 1 | 23 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 67 | 59.1 | 80 | 3.49 | 18 | 1 |
| Griffin Jax | 65 | 72.1 | 78 | 3.36 | 18 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 59 | 63 | 84 | 4.43 | 7 | 9 |
| Jhoan Duran | 57 | 67.2 | 89 | 1.86 | 18 | 8 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- Greinke gets the call to start for the Royals, his first of the season.
- In his last appearance on Monday, Oct. 3, the 39-year-old righty started and went six innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
- Greinke’s team went 10-12 in games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- His team put together a 13-13 record when he pitched in last season.
- In 26 opportunities with a run total set by oddsmakers last season, the games he appeared in went over 12 times.
Royals Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barlow | 69 | 74.1 | 77 | 2.18 | 6 | 24 |
| Dylan Coleman | 68 | 68 | 71 | 2.78 | 16 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 60 | 45.1 | 49 | 4.96 | 10 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 47 | 49 | 48 | 4.04 | 10 | 3 |
| Jose Cuas | 47 | 37.2 | 34 | 3.58 | 11 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins hit at least two home runs in 44 games last season, and went 31-13 in those outings.
- Minnesota went 23-10 in games last season when it put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team collected at least eight hits in 98 games last season, and finished 66-32 in those contests.
- Minnesota went 51-13 in games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins drew five or more walks in 35 games last season, and finished 23-12 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 36 games last season and were 25-11 in those matchups.
- Kansas City went 16-4 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They had a record of 49-40 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City had a 41-18 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They won 18 of their 33 games last season in which they drew more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-159)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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