The Washington Nationals open the season versus the Atlanta Braves on Thursday at Nationals Park. First pitch is at 1:05 PM ET.
The Braves are a heavy away favorite (-259) versus the Nationals (+216). The game’s over/under is 7.5.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of March 30, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -259 | +216 | 7.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves were favorites in 131 games last season and won 89 (67.9%) of those contests.
- Last season Atlanta won 11 of its 14 games, or 78.6%, when favored by at least -259 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 72.1% chance to win.
- Games involving Atlanta went over the total set by oddsmakers in 84 of 166 chances last season.
- The Braves had an ATS record of 82-84-0 in 166 games with a spread last season.
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals were underdogs in 143 games last season and came away with the win 46 times (32.2%) in those contests.
- Last season, Washington came away with a win 12 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +216 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 31.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents hit the over in 75 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- In 162 games with a line last season, the Nationals had a mark of 71-91-0 against the spread.
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- In games Fried pitched with a spread last season, his team was 18-13-0 ATS.
- The last time the lefty took the mound was on Tuesday, Oct. 11 last season, when he pitched 3 1/3 innings in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Fried and his team had a 15-9 record when he pitched as a favorite last season.
- His team finished with a record of 20-11 in games he pitched last season.
Braves Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 75 | 70 | 94 | 2.06 | 35 | 5 |
| Joe Jiménez | 62 | 56.2 | 77 | 3.49 | 11 | 2 |
| Collin McHugh | 58 | 69.1 | 75 | 2.60 | 17 | 0 |
| Lucas Luetge | 50 | 57.1 | 60 | 2.67 | 6 | 2 |
| Dylan Lee | 46 | 50.2 | 59 | 2.13 | 9 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin will make his first start of the season for the Nationals.
- In his last appearance on Sunday, Oct. 2, the 33-year-old lefty started and went 4 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Corbin and his team had a 4-23 record in games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
- His team finished with a 6-25 record when he pitched in last season.
- The games he appeared in last season finished over the total set by oddsmakers 12 times in 31 opportunities.
Nationals Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 66 | 66.2 | 70 | 3.51 | 14 | 11 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 59 | 86.1 | 61 | 2.92 | 5 | 0 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 57 | 62 | 56 | 2.76 | 13 | 2 |
| Andres Machado | 51 | 59.1 | 46 | 3.34 | 3 | 0 |
| Victor Arano | 43 | 42 | 44 | 4.50 | 7 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves went 58-14 last season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Atlanta racked up five or more extra-base hits in 42 games last season, and finished 34-8 in those contests.
- The team racked up eight or more hits in 101 games last season, and went 78-23 in those contests.
- Atlanta had a 69-11 record in games last season that it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves went 25-8 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They were 19-10 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington went 14-6 last season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 91 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 41-50.
- In 51 games last season with five or more runs scored, Washington posted a record of 38-13.
- In 32 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 17-15
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-259)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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