The Cincinnati Reds start the season versus the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is 4:10 PM ET.
The Pirates are road underdogs (+120) versus the Reds (-140). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of March 30, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -140 | +120 | 8 |
Reds Betting Insights
- Last season, the Reds were favored 35 times and won 13, or 37.1%, of those games.
- Cincinnati had a record of 3-5 when it was favored by -140 or more by sportsbooks last season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 76 of 162 games with a total last season.
- The Reds were 76-86-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates were chosen as underdogs in 137 games last year and walked away with the win 49 times (35.8%) in those games.
- Last year, Pittsburgh won 37 of 115 games when listed as at least +120 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 73 of its 162 games with a total last season.
- The Pirates had an against the spread mark of 84-78-0 in 162 games with a line last season.
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene and his team were 12-12-0 ATS in his 24 appearances with a spread last season.
- The last time the 23-year-old righty pitched was on Monday, Oct. 3, throwing six scoreless innings as the starter against the Chicago Cubs.
- Greene and his team won as favorites in both of his two appearances last season with a moneyline.
- The 23-year-old’s team finished with a record of 6-18 in games he pitched.
Reds Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Diaz | 59 | 63.2 | 83 | 1.84 | 13 | 10 |
| Joel Kuhnel | 53 | 58 | 56 | 6.36 | 5 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 44 | 47 | 54 | 3.83 | 5 | 2 |
| Reiver Sanmartin | 41 | 57 | 47 | 6.32 | 7 | 0 |
| Art Warren | 39 | 36 | 40 | 6.50 | 4 | 3 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller will take the mound to start for the Pirates, his first this season.
- In his last appearance on Monday, Oct. 3, the 26-year-old righty started and went five innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Keller and his team put together a 8-15 record in games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
- He made 29 appearances last year and his team finished 10-19 in those games.
- The games he pitched finished over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 29 opportunities last season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Crowe | 59 | 76 | 68 | 4.38 | 16 | 4 |
| Robert Stephenson | 58 | 58 | 55 | 5.43 | 8 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 50 | 57.1 | 57 | 4.40 | 10 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 45 | 51.2 | 69 | 2.61 | 4 | 19 |
| Chase De Jong | 42 | 71.2 | 59 | 2.64 | 4 | 1 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds racked up at least two dingers in 38 games last season, and finished 17-21 in those outings.
- Cincinnati went 14-6 in games last season when it had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club strung together eight or more hits in 77 games last season, and went 42-35 in those contests.
- Cincinnati had a 38-17 record in games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Reds finished 14-12 in the 26 games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They were 25-16 last season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 13-4.
- In 69 games last season with eight or more hits, they had a record of 46-23.
- Pittsburgh won 42 of its 57 games last season in which the team scored more than four runs.
- They had a 18-15 record last season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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