The Texas Rangers start the season versus the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday at 4:05 PM ET, at Globe Life Field.
The Phillies are an underdog (+118 moneyline odds) when they visit the Rangers (-138). The matchup has an over/under of 6.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of March 30, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -138 | +118 | 6.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- Last season, the Rangers won 25 out of the 58 games, or 43.1%, in which they were favored.
- Last season Texas won 14 of its 24 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have a 58% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Texas went over the total set by bookmakers in 77 of 162 chances last season.
- The Rangers had an ATS record of 86-76-0 in 162 games with a spread last season.
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies were chosen as underdogs in 71 games last year and walked away with the win 34 times (47.9%) in those games.
- Last year, Philadelphia won 18 of 37 games when listed as at least +118 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Philadelphia and its opponents hit the over in 89 of its 179 games with a total last season.
- The Phillies posted a record of 91-88-0 against the spread last season.
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jacob deGrom
- deGrom and his team were 5-7-0 ATS in his 12 appearances with a spread last season.
- The 34-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since last season. He last appeared on Saturday, Oct. 8 against the San Diego Padres, when he pitched six innings as the starter.
- deGrom appeared in 12 games last season as the moneyline favorite and his team finished with a record of 7-5 in those contests.
- The 34-year-old made 11 appearances last year and his team went 7-5 in those games.
Rangers Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 65 | 59 | 65 | 3.97 | 16 | 5 |
| Brock Burke | 52 | 82.1 | 90 | 1.97 | 9 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 39 | 47.2 | 54 | 2.83 | 4 | 7 |
| Jonathan Hernández | 29 | 30.1 | 27 | 2.97 | 3 | 4 |
| Taylor Hearn | 18 | 100 | 97 | 5.13 | 2 | 1 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola will make his first start of the season for the Phillies.
- The 29-year-old righty last appeared Thursday, Nov. 3 against the Houston Astros, when he started and went four innings.
- Nola and his team went 3-6 in the nine games he pitched when they were the underdog on the moneyline a season ago.
- He helped his team to a win in 18 of the 32 games he pitched in last season.
- The games he pitched finished over the run total set by oddsmakers 19 times in 37 opportunities last season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers (2022)
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 64 | 60.1 | 60 | 3.28 | 2 | 30 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 63 | 60 | 72 | 3.75 | 2 | 22 |
| José Alvarado | 59 | 51 | 81 | 3.18 | 22 | 2 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 58 | 54.1 | 78 | 3.31 | 9 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 54 | 51 | 61 | 3.00 | 16 | 9 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers went 27-30 last season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Texas went 17-7 in games last season when it had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club strung together eight or more hits 80 times last season, and had a 44-36 record in those games.
- Texas finished 43-19 in the games last season that it scored at least five runs.
- The Rangers went 19-12 in games last season when they drew five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They hit two or more homers in 59 games last season and were 44-15 in those matchups.
- In 37 games with five or more extra-base hits last season, it had a record of 31-6.
- They had a record of 71-33 last season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Philadelphia had a 59-14 record last season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 39 games last season with five or more walks drawn, they posted a record of 27-12
Rangers vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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